The Market Moves in Eurovision 2016

Maybe it is a result of the first rehearsals, maybe it is the announcement of the running order of the semi-finals, possibly the betting public have simply given this year’s candidates a listen through but, whatever the reasons, there has been plenty of market movement amongst the Eurovision Song Contest contenders during the past fortnight.

Saturday 14th May - 7.00pm OddsWon/LostBet
Eurovision Song Contest
Read our Betting Preview  
   
Tips Spain Top-Ten Finish    Best Bet @ 13 / 8  
Australia (each way) @ 12 / 1  
France (each way) @ 10 / 1  
Latvia (each way) @ 33 / 1  
Bulgaria Top Balkan Country @ 5 / 4  

France Now 4’s

France has been one of the biggest movers. We put them forward at 10/1 two weeks ago, they are now into a top-priced 4/1. That is not a total surprise although this price shift cannot be attributed to a recent warm-up night in Amsterdam where 26 Eurovision acts performed the song they will be playing on the big night.

By all reports the French singer, Amir, failed to hit the high notes there and also mistimed his lyrics towards the end of his song which is a little short of the 3-minute maximum length it and all songs can last according to the Eurovision rules.

Sweden has gone the opposite direction in the market. The once 2/1 favourite can now be backed at 12/1 with Ladbrokes. Finally people have cottoned on to the fact a person talking over a track is not singing and this is a song contest!

Ignore the Latvian Drift

There was another rehearsal night in London a week later where the Bulgarian and Latvian entries were well received. Latvia is curious, as they were trading at single figures at the end of May but 25/1 is now available with Coral and Boylesports.

Giving the song a second listen and watching some of the footage from the London warm-up night I can understand why it was once 5/1 and cannot make any sense of its current 25/1 quote.

Their solo male singer is sure to be well received by the young female set and the substantial gay man portion of the voting public will also like 21-year-old Justs Sirmais.

The opening bars of his song, Heartbeat’, sounds very much like last year’s winning tune (Sweden’s ‘Heroes’ performed by Mans Zelmerlow) but it develops into a track which would work well in clubs.

If the Latvians could pull a rabbit out of the hat and give Justs some stage trickery – which is what put Sweden over the line last year – their song could make a mockery at that 25/1.

Latvian Price Disparity

That price is the head scratcher as Latvia is just 7/2 (Betfair) and 4/1 (Paddy Power) to win the second semi-final. That makes it third favourite amongst 19 acts (in the second semi) fighting for a top-10 place in order to make the grand-final. It is priced-up at 1/9 to make the final.

These short prices come despite the fact the young performer has got the very worst of the draw, stepping out on stage as the very first performing act on the second semi-final night, May 12th.

Given all of this, 25/1 has to be big and, while there are distractions of backing it to finish in the top-5 (just 7/5 at Betfair) or top10 (4/9), Boylesports ‘win market’ is the only place to shop as they are not only going joint top-price but also offering ¼ odds places 1-2-3-4.

Radio Can Make the Bulgarian a Video Star

As for Bulgaria… The country has missed the past couple of Eurovisons but return with the same artist which represented them in 2011, Poli Genova, when they finished 12th.

100/1 was available a month ago but following much toe-tapping and clapping from the audiences watching Poli’s rendition of ‘If Love Was a Crime’ at three warm-up events the best price available now is 33’s.

Giving this one a second listen there is no doubting it has a lot of radio mileage, more than most, and with an ideal semi-final draw (performing 13 of 19 in the second semi-final), the solo female Bulgarian will surely be back to perform on the hallowed final night where she can breach the top-10.

That outcome is 13/10 with Betfair but the better betting proposition is Paddy Power’s 5/4 about Bulgaria being the ‘Top Balkan Country’. Their market in this department also incorporates Serbia (10/11), Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, FYR Macedonia, Romania, Greece, Slovenia and Montenegro – all of which are 25/1.

Eurovision gets underway on May 10th with its first semi-final. The second semi is on May 12th and final on May 14th.

2016 Eurovision Song Contest Odds

Posted: Wednesday, 20th April 2016
Author: Roy Brindley

Archive - Previous 5 Specials Articles

2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets So Much Value in Eurovision Double Digit Entries
2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets
5th Apr
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview Eurovision 2016 Favourites Well Worth Taking On
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview
4th Apr
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer Brilliant World Champion Jessica EnnisHill Deserves SPOTY Award
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer
8th Dec
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career King Kevin Sinfield should be crowned Sports Personality of the Year
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career
2nd Dec
McCoy, Katarina JT And Root Also Feature Chris Froome and Lewis Hamilton top the 2015 Sports Personality of the Year betting
McCoy, Katarina JT And Root Also Feature
28th Jul

Headline News

Stradivarius To Bound To Royal Ascot Staying Glory Gold Cup Betting Preview And Tips
Stradivarius To Bound To Royal Ascot Staying Glory
France Tipped To Win An Entertaining Group C Clash France v Peru Match Betting Tips And Predictions
France Tipped To Win An Entertaining Group C Clash
Expect Goals In World Cup Group D Game Argentina v Croatia Match Betting Tips And Predictions
Expect Goals In World Cup Group D Game
Another Denmark Win To Nil Is The Best Bet Denmark v Australia Betting Preview And Predictions
Another Denmark Win To Nil Is The Best Bet
Harry Kane Makes An Early Move For The Golden Boot Award Englands Odds To Win The World Cup Shorten After Narrow Win Against Tunisia
Harry Kane Makes An Early Move For The Golden Boot Award

Bookmaker Offers


Bet £10 and get £40 in free bets

Bet £/€10 Get £/€30 on Sports + a £/€10 games bonus!

New customers only, place a €10 bet on any Sportsbook market - min stake €10 at odds of at least 1.5 (1/2) — and we’ll give you €30 in free bets. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. Free bets are valid for 30 days and must be used on a Sportsbook market. Free bets will be awarded after the qualifying bet has been settled. T&Cs apply. Games: One bonus per customer. €10 free to play on Ted Slot game, offer valid for 7 days. Opt in on Games promotions page. x15 wagering applies. T&Cs apply.


BET NOW
Bet £10 and get £40 in free bets

Bet £/€10 Get £/€30 on Sports + a £/€10 games bonus!

New customers only, place a €10 bet on any Sportsbook market - min stake €10 at odds of at least 1.5 (1/2) — and we’ll give you €30 in free bets. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. Free bets are valid for 30 days and must be used on a Sportsbook market. Free bets will be awarded after the qualifying bet has been settled. T&Cs apply. Games: One bonus per customer. €10 free to play on Ted Slot game, offer valid for 7 days. Opt in on Games promotions page. x15 wagering applies. T&Cs apply.


£50 Free Bet

Important info: 18+. New UK+IRE Customers only. Min deposit £5. Certain payment methods and cashout excluded. Min first bet £5. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Must be placed within 14 days of account reg. Free bet credited upon placement of qualifying bet, valid for 24 hours. Free bet stake not returned. T&Cs Apply.


BET NOW
£50 Free Bet

Important info: 18+. New UK+IRE Customers only. Min deposit £5. Certain payment methods and cashout excluded. Min first bet £5. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Must be placed within 14 days of account reg. Free bet credited upon placement of qualifying bet, valid for 24 hours. Free bet stake not returned. T&Cs Apply.


Up to £100 in bet credits

Up to £100 in Bet Credits. New Customers only. Sign up, deposit £5 or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.


BET NOW
Up to £100 in bet credits

Up to £100 in Bet Credits. New Customers only. Sign up, deposit £5 or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.


Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Important info: 18+. UK+IRE only. Min first bet £10 a odds 1/2 or more. Tote and Pool excluded. Must be placed within 14 days of account reg. £30 credited as 3 x £10 free bets. Not valid with CashOut. Free bet valid for 4 days. Free bet stake not returned. T&Cs apply.


BET NOW
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Important info: 18+. UK+IRE only. Min first bet £10 a odds 1/2 or more. Tote and Pool excluded. Must be placed within 14 days of account reg. £30 credited as 3 x £10 free bets. Not valid with CashOut. Free bet valid for 4 days. Free bet stake not returned. T&Cs apply.


Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

New William Hill online customers only. Min. unit stake of £10 at odds of 1/2 or greater. Only the 'win' part from EW bets will count. Free bet terms, payment method & country restrictions apply. Free bets credited as 3 x £10. Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets. All Free Bets must be wagered within 30 days.


BET NOW
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

New William Hill online customers only. Min. unit stake of £10 at odds of 1/2 or greater. Only the 'win' part from EW bets will count. Free bet terms, payment method & country restrictions apply. Free bets credited as 3 x £10. Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets. All Free Bets must be wagered within 30 days.


Bet £10 Get £30

Only available to new customers from UK & Northern Ireland. You must stake £10 or more at single/cumulative odds of Evens (2.0) or greater on your first bet. Free bet balance of £30 credited within 48 hours of your first bet being settled. Free Bets expire after 7 days. E-Wallet restrictions apply. Minimum 5 game rounds. Game restrictions apply. Maximum 30 Free Spins on selected games. Free Spins expire after 7 days. Full T&Cs apply.


BET NOW
Bet £10 Get £30

Only available to new customers from UK & Northern Ireland. You must stake £10 or more at single/cumulative odds of Evens (2.0) or greater on your first bet. Free bet balance of £30 credited within 48 hours of your first bet being settled. Free Bets expire after 7 days. E-Wallet restrictions apply. Minimum 5 game rounds. Game restrictions apply. Maximum 30 Free Spins on selected games. Free Spins expire after 7 days. Full T&Cs apply.


Bet £10 Get £40

New Customers Only. £40 in free bets split into £30 in sports bets + £10 Casino bonus, wagering requirements apply. Credit or Debit Card deposits only, 18+ T&C's apply. Begambleaware.org


BET NOW
Bet £10 Get £40

New Customers Only. £40 in free bets split into £30 in sports bets + £10 Casino bonus, wagering requirements apply. Credit or Debit Card deposits only, 18+ T&C's apply. Begambleaware.org


£25 Bet Bundle

18+, T&C's apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds 1/2. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each of 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply.


BET NOW
£25 Bet Bundle

18+, T&C's apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds 1/2. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each of 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply.

Sports Calendar - Betting Fixtures

28/1 A goal to be scored - Argentina v Croatia (New customer offer, T&C, 18+)
28/1 A goal to be scored - Argentina v Croatia (New customer offer, T&C, 18+)