Hamilton Is On Track For A Belgian Grand Prix Victory

There’s no justification for opposing a Mercedes victory in Spa Francorchamps this weekend. The German marque has provided the pole-setter, race-winner and fastest-lap setter for each of the last three Belgian Grand Prix.

Sunday - 1.00pm OddsWon/LostBet
Belgian Grand Prix    
Tips Lewis Hamilton fastest in FP1    Best Bet @ 1 / 1  
Over 15.5 race finishers @ 7 / 10  
No Safety Car @ 7 / 4  
Esteban Ocon Top Six Finish @ 7 / 4  

The high-speed venue which requires very little downforce is the type of track the Mercedes thrives on and it is hard to see the Ferrari of Sebastian Vettel capable of showing race winning pace until the cars roll into Singapore on September 17th.

So this race looks to be Lewis Hamilton’s for the taking and he should get his weekend off to a flier by topping the time-sheets on Friday morning. The Brit has ‘won’ Practice 1 fifteen times since the start of last season (a 50 percent ratio) and given the nature of this venue, he is surely more than 50 percent likely to do so again.

Safety First, Numbers Second

Statistically there are strong grounds to back the total number of finishers to be high. Admittedly this is a venue renowned for changeable weather and unpredicted showers but such conditions are no longer associated with massive crashes. The relatively new ‘virtual safety car’ lessens the likelihood of accidents or race ending incidents during rain.

In recent years the number of race finishers has been high in Belgium: 20-19-18-19-20-16-17 and six of the last eight races of the current season has seen sixteen or more finishers. Combined these facts makes the 7/10 available about there being 15.5+ finishers an outstanding proposition.

Six Appeal For Ocon

On a similar theme the 7/4 on offer about ‘no safety car’ has real appeal (Bet 365). It’s been needed in precisely half of the last 12 races here. But the biggest value shout of all is Esteban Ocon to finish in the top-6. Ladbrokes are going 7/4 about this outcome.

20-year-old Ocon has finished in the top-10 of this season’s 11 races and made the top six three times from the past seven races. However, stats alone are not the reason for this recommendation. Let us not forget his Force India car is powered by a Mercedes engine meaning it too should feel very much at home on this high-speed circuit.

2017 Belgian Grand Prix Odds

Posted: Thursday, 24th August 2017
Author: Roy Brindley

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