Ribchester to down Churchill in Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood

Wednesday 2nd August, 2017 - 3:35pm Goodwood - Sussex Stakes

Down the years there have been some tremendous 'Duels on the Downs' in the Sussex Stakes, with Frankel vs Canford Cliffs, and Dawn Approach vs Toronado just a brace of clashes that have lit up Glorious Goodwood in recent years, and the 2017 duel will see the Richard Fahey-trained Ribchester take on the Aidan O'Brien-trained Churchill in a mouth-watering Godolphin vs Ballydoyle match-up.

  • Ribchester won Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot in June
  • Guineas hero Churchill flopped in St James's Palace Stakes last time out
  • Seven of the last ten winners have been aged three years old

Wednesday 2nd August - 3.35pm OddsWon/LostBet
Sussex Stakes    
Tips Ribchester to win    Best Bet @ 1 / 1  

Ribchester vs Churchill

Usually the two heavweight contenders lining up in the Sussex Stakes have both headed to the south coast on the back of a win, with it often seeing the Queen Anne Stakes winner clashing with the St James's Palace Stakes hero at Royal Ascot, but while Ribchester will head to Goodwood with a fine Queen Anne victory on his CV, it's Churchill that will have the question marks hanging over him after flopping in the St James's Palace Stakes.

So, in light of those results it's Ribchester that has been installed as the Evens favourite with Betfred, with Churchill a best-priced 7/4 chance with bet365, but if the latter can return to the form that saw him breeze to victory in the QIPCO 2000 Guineas at Newmarket earlier in the season then he has to be a major thorn in the side of his older adversary.

Ribchester, an unlucky third in this race 12 months ago, will have to give 7lbs to Churchill, but the manner in which he dispatched some classy rivals in the Queen Anne just showed that he is improving as his career goes on, and if he can repeat that sort of effort on Wednesday then it's going to be hard for Churchill to down his main market rival, and it's worth sticking with the consistency of the Fahey-trained favourite.

Other Contenders

Jean-Claude Rouget's Zelzal was a fine winner of the Prix Jean Prat last season, but has failed to build on that Group 1 success, and having been beaten at odds-on in a Group 2 at Chantilly last time out will need to recapture some old form, and at 8/1 with Sky Bet makes very little appeal against the front two in the betting.

David Simcock's Lightning Spear shaped well on his first start of the season when chasing home Ribchester in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury, but he has been below-par on his last two starts, and at 20/1 with Betfred is another to avoid, as he certainly will struggle to turn the Newbury form around with Ribchester.

Lancaster Bomber will be the second shot fired from the O'Brien gun, and while he has competed in some of the premier races during his career the 16/1 chance with Sky Bet has often found life at the top too tough, so while is likely to run a decent race, will have to settle for minor honours once again.

Best Of The Rest

Clive Cox's Zonderland will make his seasonal reappearance, and he could an outsider that outruns his lofty odds, but on his comeback run the 33/1 chance with Betway will find it tough at this elite level, while Here Comes When (66/1) and Kool Kompany (66/1) are another brace of runners likely to finish down the field in a race that can go the way of the jolly.

2017 Sussex Stakes Odds

Posted: Tuesday, 1st August 2017
Author: Steve Chambo

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