Manchester United To Leave It Late To Beat Sevilla

Man Utd v Sevilla - Tuesday 13th March 2018, 19:45 (Old Trafford)

The final games for the Round of 16 of the Champions League take place this week, with Manchester United welcoming Sevilla to Old Trafford on Tuesday night. A turgid first leg resulted in a 0-0 draw and one would be hard-pressed to proclaim that either team performed admirably enough to warrant a significant advantage over the other, with United coming under particular scrutiny. Against Sevilla, Utd managed a solitary shot on target in the first leg at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan and had to once again rely on the reflexes of David De Gea to avoid conceding from a point-blank Luis Muriel header on the stroke of half-time.

  • United have come from behind to win two of their last three matches
  • Sevilla are nine points adrift of the top-four in La Liga

Tuesday 13th March - 7.45pm OddsWon/LostBet
Manchester United v Sevilla    
Tips Half-Time Sevilla win and Full-Time Man Utd win    Best Bet @ 25 / 1  

United to have significantly more confidence in attack

The apparent lack of confidence Utd had in that fixture, with the team apparently unwilling to venture outside their own half, may have been erased however, with the Red Devils gloating from Saturday’s Premier League win over eternal North-West rivals Liverpool at Old Trafford. Utd were happy to concede possession for organised sporadic counter-attacking football, and similar possession statistics were also shown against Sevilla last month.
Match Odds:

United haven’t suffered loss since the 1-0 to Newcastle away whilst Sevilla have only achieved 2 wins in the last 5, losing 2-0 at home to Valencia at the weekend and significantly depleting their hope of achieving a top four finish in the Primera Division. Whilst Utd’s style of football under Jose Mourinho is dissected on a weekly basis, it has ultimately yielded results to allow them to position themselves firmly in runner-up spot in the Premier League, favourites for the FA Cup, and here, potentially one of four English clubs to lay claim to Old Big Ears in Kiev and claim their first Champions League title since Moscow 2008.

United, having been absent from the competition on occasion over the past several seasons, look to register their first knock-out stage win since 2014. The Manchester side have won their last three games - against Liverpool, Palace, and Chelsea, by a one goal margin, and with two of those results coming at home, it would be frivolous to expect a significant change in ratio.

Man Utd v Sevilla - Head-To-Head + Odds.

The returning Eric Bailly adds much needed stability to a what has at times looked like a dubiously naïve United defence, despite his much-maligned own goal on Saturday. Marcus Rashford will look to further stimulate praise generated from his Man of the Match winning performance against Liverpool and stake his claim for a starting place amongst the million-pound purchases that have defined Utd’s front-line through the season. Equally as important at the weekend was Romelu Lukaku’s bruising, battling hold-up play and the Belgian was integral to both goals at Old Trafford.

Ashley Young may be expected to retain his left-back role after his standout audition to go to Russia in the summer and lack of significant challenge from a teammate. A similar defensive performance with the target men taking advantage when the opportunities present themselves should allow Manchester United to progress.

Unfair to write off Sevilla

It is important to recall that the previous journey to England for Sevilla resulted in a 2-2 draw against Utd’s previous domestic opponents, coming from behind to draw level with a Joaquin Correa goal against a pre-Van Djik defence. Top scorer Wissam Ben Yedder may be out of favour having been dropped for the previous two La Liga games but has the best goals to minutes ratio and double the strikes over the course of the season to nearest challenger Muriel. Having provided an arguably even more entertaining comeback against Liverpool in their home return fixture, Sevilla cannot be discounted to provide a tough encounter for the Devils. The draw from being three goals down before half-time against Liverpool was one of the most memorable games of the season in the European competition.

A likely result might be to see both teams to score and Utd to win in 90 minutes in a relatively low-scoring game, which may not be sewn up until the latter stages. Utd are on a high after wins against two top-four rivals and a Fergie-era winner at Selhurst Park. Sevilla, who lie firmly outside the La Liga top four, 9 points behind Valencia after Saturday’s result, will want to make a statement, and inflicting an upset against the three-times European Champions will be firmly in their minds.

Even after the stalemate in Spain, the two teams lie at opposing ends of the betting spectrum to win the Champions League outright, the shortest odds being 18/1 and 100/1 (Paddy Power) for the home and away side. Utd have won their last three games- against Liverpool, Palace, and Chelsea, by a one goal margin, and with two of those results coming at home, it may be frivolous to expect a significant change in ratio, regardless of expecting them to retain this healthy run of form and the likelihood of them joining Manchester City and Liverpool in progressing to the Quarter-Finals. Whilst Sevilla should attempt to push United at The Theatre, the fact that United have come from behind twice in those same three matches to win, a smart bet could be to see Sevilla leading at half-time, and United winning in 90 minutes (25/1 BetVictor).

Posted: Monday, 12th March 2018
Author: Mark Files

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