Where Is The Value In The World Cup Winner Odds?

Four countries appear to be a cut above the rest when it comes to the bookmakers' World Cup Winner Odds as Brazil, Germany, Spain and France are all priced 13/2 or shorter. We look at whether there could be some value to be found at bigger prices in Russia this summer...

The 'Big Four' World Cup Winner Odds

Brazil are marginal favourites at 9/2, ahead of Germany (5/1), Spain (13/2) and France (13/2), and six of the past seven World Cups have been won by one of these so-called 'Big Four' - with the exception coming when Italy won in 2006.

Italy are absent this year and it is Argentina who were the last to break the monopoly of the leading quartet on the big stage as Diego Maradona dragged them to glory in 1986. The diminutive figure of Lionel Messi is charged with carrying this team and the weight of expectations in Russia this year.

Argentina have reached two finals since winning the FIFA World Cup 22 years ago, but they have often fallen short when the pressure is on and they are far from certain to make the knockout stages as they are in a tough group with Nigeria, Croatia and Iceland.

Where Is The Value In The World Cup Odds To Win?

Belgium are next best in the betting at 11/1 and they are the perennial 'dark horses' when it comes to major tournaments. Roberto Martinez will hope to get the best out of this 'Golden Generation' of players...

Speaking of golden generations, England know all about having a talented bunch of players that fail to deliver on the big stage and the Three Lions have gone beyond the quarter-finals of the World Cup once since lifting the Jules Rimet Trophy in 1966.

Gareth Southgate's men are a dreadfully short 16/1 at this stage.

Since 1966, the World Cup finalists have been one of the 'Big Four', Argentina, Italy or Netherlands. With the latter two both absent this year, we look at which teams are most likely to break the traditional monopoly.

Thursday 14th June - 4.00pm OddsWon/LostBet
  World Cup Winner - Each Way Bets    
Tips Uruguay (each way)    Best Bet @ 28 / 1  
Colombia (each way) @ 40 / 1  

Uruguay have received plenty of support of late and can be backed at 28/1 with Betfred. Winners of the inaugural tournament on home soil in 1930 and again in Brazil in 1950, Uruguay qualified in good style as they finished second in the CONMEBOL section and they have a good pedigree at the World Cup.

Fourth in 2010 and a last-sixteen effort in 2014, the South American nation should top a remarkably weak Group A that includes Russia, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, and they will fancy their chances of winning a last-sixteen clash with the runners up from Group B - one of Portugal, Morocco or Iran are likely to finish second to Spain in that section.

Another South American nation catch the eye too as Colombia are a tempting 40/1 with Betfred. James Rodriguez inspired them to the quarter-finals in 2014 and they were very unfortunate to lose out to tournament hosts Brazil four years ago. They look to have a favourable draw in Group H as they should qualify ahead of Poland, Senegal and Japan, with a last-sixteen clash against the runner-up from Group G to come - Belgium, England, Tunisia or Panama should hold no fears for Jose Pekerman's men.

World Cup Winner Odds

Visit paddypower Visit betfred Visit ladbrokes Visit coral Visit bet365 Visit betvictor Visit boyle Visit williamhill
4/9 4/9 - 4/9 2/5 2/5 2/5 4/9
7/4 7/4 7/4 7/4 2 9/5 15/8 7/4

*Odds correct as of 13th Jul, 11:31. Odds are subject to change.


Posted: Monday, 11th June 2018
Author: Chris Knight

Archive - Previous 5 Football Articles

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