Bank On Goals As Colchester Seek A Carabao Cup Upset Against Villa

The first round of the Carabao Cup - the League Cup in old money - takes centre stage on Wednesday night and the Sky Sports cameras are at the West Homes Community Stadium as they anticipate a potential upset in what promises to be an entertaining game between Colchester and Aston Villa...

  • Colchester haven't gone beyond the first round of the League Cup since 2010
  • The U's have reached the second round only twice in the previous twelve years
  • Colchester's 26 home games in 2016/17 produced 78 goals (three goals per game on average)

Wednesday 9th August - 7.45pm OddsWon/LostBet
Colchester v Aston Villa    
Tips Over 2.5 Goals    Best Bet @ 10 / 11  

Colchester Stats | Aston Villa Stats

Distractions

In truth, neither side are likely to be placing too much emphasis on this competition as Colchester's focus is on promotion from League Two after missing out on the play-offs by one point last term. The U's are bidding to bounce back from a dismal start to the new campaign though as they lost 3-1 at Accrington Stanley on Saturday and John McGreal's side are 6/1 for the win this week (bet 365).

Vila, who will be focusing on promotion from the Championship this term, were knocked out at the first round stage by Luton Town twelve months ago and there is no doubt that Steve Bruce's men are vulnerable as he is likely to make wholesale changes to the team that drew 1-1 with Hull in the league on Saturday evening.

The five-time League Cup winners are 4/7 for victory (b365) but we simply cannot back a second string side, particularly as the first string only managed to win four away games during the whole of the 2016/17 season (drew six, lost fifteen), even against League Two opposition.
Match Odds:

Bank On Goals

Instead, it is the goal markets which take our fancy and over 2.5 goals (10/11 with Betfred) is a bet that has paid out in eleven of Villa's past thirteen League Cup ties.

That bet looks even better when you consider Colchester's 26 home games in all competitions during 2016/17 produced a grand total of 78 goals (three goals per game on average) and the team that had the worst defensive record of all the teams in the top-half of League Two last term looked particularly vulnerable at the weekend.

A much-changed Villa team are unlikely to be rock solid and that ensures goals are the order of the day.

Posted: Tuesday, 8th August 2017
Author: Chris Knight

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