NFL 2016 Week 17 Picks

It's final week of the 2016 NFL regular season and it's an absolute minefield for betting, as teams that have secured a place in the playoffs could rest players and trying to figure out which teams that have nothing left to play for will be trying to win, is total guesswork. However, there are some opportunities that stand out as we look to finish the season strong after last week's three winning bets, with the 6/1 treble proving to be the icing on the Christmas cake.

It's more of the same this week, as the three picks concerning total points and are all advised as singles, along with another 6/1 treble, as we look to start 2017 in profit!

NFL 2016 Week 17 PicksOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: New York Giants @ Washington Redskins - Over 44.5 Points
@ 10 / 11  
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions - Over 49.5 Points
@ 10 / 11  
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Under 43
@ 10 / 11  
Treble pays @ 6 / 1  

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins - Over 44.5 Points

These two NFC East rivals meet with the Giants already booked in to the playoffs with a wild card berth, whilst the Redskins must win and hope that the Green Bay Packers beat the Detroit Lions in order to clinch the last remaining wild card spot.

This is a hugely favourable spot for Washington, as despite New York claiming that they are going to play a full strength team, there is no way that they will be risking injuries ahead of a crucial road game, next week (when it matters). That is reflected in the line of -7.5 in favour of the 'Skins, and whilst it is likely that they'll cover, a more confident pick is for the game to over the total of 44.5 that has been set.

The Redskins are 6-1 in favour of the overs in home games this season, and with the Giants defense expected to be weakened, or at minimum, not playing anywhere near the level of intensity that that they have, thus far in 2016, the total looks way too low. That said, the visitors are unlikely to roll over on offense and be severely punished, so expect them to find the endzone, themselves, whilst the home team will be all out until the end to ensure the win they need, whilst hoping for a favour from the Packers in Detroit. As such, play the over 44.5 points.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions - Over 49.5 Points

This is a winner takes all divisional clash, with the team that emerges victorious being crowned NFC North champions, with the reward a home game in the first round of the playoffs, next weekend.

With the stakes so high, expect this game to turn in to a shootout. The Packers are riding a five game winning streak, scoring 27-21-38-30-38 points in the process. Five of the Packers seven road games have gone over the total and this game is taken to make it seven. Detroit's offense is averaging 22 points per game at home, but it must improve on that to keep pace with a Green Bay and as such, over 49.5 points is the clear call.

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Under 43

The Pittsburgh Steelers clinched the AFC North with a victory over Baltimore on Christmas Day, securing a home game in the first round of the playoffs, but unable to improve on their seeding with a victory on Sunday. As such, they have made no attempt to hide the fact that they will be resting their star players for the final regular season game, on Sunday.

Sunday's visitors, the Cleveland Browns, got a huge monkey off their back with a victory over San Diego, last week, ensuring that they won't go winless for the season. However, with a 1-14 record, it would be hard to make a case for them beating even a second string Steelers team, thus, ignore the outcome of this game. Instead, play the unders, where the line has been set at 43. It is hard to see either of these teams turning this into a shootout in inclement weather as they will likely run the clock in what looks set to be a routine finish to the regular season, with the Steelers keeping their offensive power on the sidelines ahead of a Super Bowl run, starting next week. Under 43 looks a solid bet.

Posted: Friday, 30th December 2016
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

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