NFL 2017 Week Three Picks

It's week three of the 2017 NFL season and with just two games in the book and only nine of the league's 32 teams boasting a perfect 2-0 start, another competitive campaign is the forecast for the remaining 15 weeks. However, for this week's Betting Directory American Football picks, we are confident that we've found a team that can continue their 100% record, together with two total points plays.

As always, when betting against the spread, the odds are such that singles are recommended, together with a speculative treble, which this week, pays 6/1 with bet365.

NFL 2017 Week Three PicksOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Under 39.5 Points
@ 10 / 11  
Denver Broncos (-3) @ Buffalo Bills
@ 10 / 11  
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets - Under 42.5
@ 10 / 11  
Treble Pays: @ 6 / 1  

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Under 39.5 Points

A word of warning, this game kicks-off at 14:30 (BST), as it is being played in London, so don't miss it! Another word of warning, the game at Wembley Stadium, between Jacksonville and Baltimore, is not likely to be pretty!

The Ravens have started strong with back-to-back wins, giving up just 10 points in the process, including a shutout at Cincinnati in week one. The team's defense looks like a force to be reckoned with and should have no problem containing a Jaguars team that, despite providing much hope in week one with a convicing win against an albeit below-par Houston Texans, normal service was resumed last week as they were demolished, 37-16, by the Tennessee Titans. However, 31 of those 37 points for the Titans came in the second half and the feeling is that the Jags defense is more like the one seen in the first six quarters of the season than the second-half, last Sunday.

This game should see two strong defenses keep the score down, whilst the 'run-first' approach of both offenses, should ensure the clock keeps ticking. Add to that the disruption of travel across the Atlantic, the fact that this game is being played at a bodyclock time of 09:30am for all players, together with the neutral field, and under 39.5 points in the game is the pick.

Denver Broncos (-3) @ Buffalo Bills

The Denver Broncos started the 2017 season somewhat under the radar. Having won the Super Bowl just 18 months ago, they flopped 12 months ago as they struggled to transition on offense following the retirement of start quarterback, Peyton Manning. However, Trevor Siemian, who is now in his second seasona as the Broncos signal caller, looks to have left his rookie woes behind him, judging by his six touchdown passes in the first two games of 2017, whilst the Denver defense looks every bit of the elite unit that it has been for the past few years.

They travel to Buffalo on Sunday as the -3 favourites and they should be fully capable of continuing their good start against a Bills team that looks very one dimensional on offense, having little aerial threat, that failed to impress against a poor Jets team in week one, before putting up only three points in a 9-3 defeat to Carolina, last week. They have a first year head coach, who is clearly finding his feet and whilst Denver is also under the guidance of a new head coach, the safe option is to back the team that has clearly found its groove early on, in this one!

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets - Under 42.5

Labelled by many as possibly the worst team in NFL history, the New York Jets have been tipped by many to go 0-16, and having started with back-to-back defeats, the chances of that unwanted label materialising looks ominous.

Having stripped back their best assests in the off-season, the consensus belief amongst NFL writers is that the Jets are going all-out to secure the number one draft pick in 2018, allowing them to draft a quarterback and begin rebuilding for the future. In the interim, Miami can become the latest team take full advantage of the situation in the Big Apple.

Having missed week one becuase of Hurricane Irma, this is only game two for the Dolphins who should be fresher than the Jets, who return after two road trips. Home advantage should be non-existant at the Meadowlands, as fans will no doubt be quick to jump on the team's back, given what should unfold. As such, Miami look nailed on to win and should cover the -6, however, the safer pick looks to be a play on Under 42.5 points in the game. New quarterback, Jay Cutler, will still be getting used to the Dolphins system whilst their defense looks more than capable of handling the Jets below-par offense. Expect Miami's running back, Jay Ajayi, to see plenty of volume as the visitors control the clock to see out victory, keeping the score low, in the process. It's hard to see any combination that results in this game surpassing 40 points, so play the unders.

Posted: Thursday, 21st September 2017
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

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