NFL Playoff Picks Conference Championships

It was another bumper weekend for readers of Betting Directory's NFL column, as we once again hit the bookies for six with three winning singles and 6/1 treble! It was the second consecutive week that we were 100% with our picks, taking us to a record of nine winners from nine bets, during the playoffs.

This Sunday sees the Coference Championships take centre stage as Atlanta take on Green Bay, in the NFC, whilst New England host Pittsburgh in the AFC, with the respective winners meeting at Super Bowl 51, in two weeks time.

Between them, the last four remaining teams boast a combined record of 29-1 since week 12 of the regular season! As such, good luck predicting the two teams that will meet in Houston, a fortnight from now. Whilst the bookmakers make the two home teams favourites, however, it wouldn't be a shock if Green Bay and Pittsburgh progressed, so instead of trying to make a case for the two winners, in games that could be decided by which team has possession on the final drive, we've got two bets that are both big enough to back as singles and an attractive looking 9/2 double.

NFL Playoff Picks Conference ChampionshipOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: Falcons to score in every quarter at 11/10
@ 11 / 10  
Patriots to score in every quarter at 13/8 @ 13 / 8  
Double pays @ 9 / 2  

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons - Falcons to score in every quarter at 11/10

The Falcons finished the regular season boasting the NFL's highest scoring offense, averaging 33.8 points per game, which they assumed last week when putting up 36 points on the Seattle Seahawks, one of the league's better defenses, to progress to this stage.

Sunday opponents, the Green Bay Packers, averaged 27 points per game in the regular season, adding a further 38 and 34 points in the last two week, en route to this shot at the Super Bowl.

With two flying offenses, the total for the game is 60 - the highest in NFL playoff history! The last time these two met was in week eight of the regular season, where the final score was 33-32. It would be no surprise to see a repeat of that score, or equally, the scoreboard run higher with so much at stake in this winner-takes-all clash.

It is hard to put off anybody tempted to back the overs but the standout bet in what is tipped to be such a high scoring affair is for Atlanta to score in every quarter. The Falcons have scored in every quarter in nine of 17 games, which from a stats perspective alone, makes this a value bet - getting 11/10 about what is essentially a 5/6 chance. However, when you consider that those games would have been much lower implied totals, then the chances of points being scored in every quarter increase significantly.

In 68 quarters played this season, Atlanta has only failed to score in nine, including points in each of the four periods played against Green Bay in week eight. Everything points towards the Falcons finding the endzone or kicking a field goal in each quarter on Sunday, making this a clear standout selection.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots - Patriots to score in every quarter at 13/8

Whilst not tipped to be quite the shootout expected in Atlanta, this game has a total of 50.5, which between them, the Patriots and Steelers could easily combine to breeze past that. However, much like the Atlanta Falcons, the Patriots are tipped to score in every quarter of this game in what seems like a huge price of 13/8!

In the 13 games that Tom Brady has started as quarterback, this season, New England have scored in all four quarters in 11 of those - inlcuding all six at Gillette Stadium, as well as the road game at Pittsburgh in week seven.

Of 52 quarters with Brady under centre in 2016, including last week's playoff win over Houston, the Patriots have scored at least three points in 50!

Getting 13/8 about a team boasting those stats make this a clear pick and as well as being a good price single, the doule at 9/2 with bet365, could make this yet another profitable NFL Sunday.

It is worth remembering, even if the two road teams roll blow-for-blow with the two home teams, there's still a good chance that these bets can win.

Posted: Friday, 20th January 2017
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

Archive - Previous 5 American-football Articles

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