NFL Playoff Picks - Divisional Weekend

We hit the bookies for six on this column, last weekend, as all six picks posted, came home in the wild card round of the NFL playoffs. Those bets included the 23/10 fourfold acca and two 10/11 singles and with another four games to get stuck in to ahead of this week's divisional round, we're confident we've got three more bets that can continue our winning streak, all advised as singles and the treble, which pays 6/1 with bet365.

NFL Playoff Picks Divisional RoundOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: Atlanta Falcons to cover -5 against Seattle Seahawks
@ 10 / 11  
New England Patriots to cover -15 against Houston Texans
@ 10 / 11  
Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys - Over 52 points
@ 10 / 11  
Treble pays @ 6 / 1  

Atlanta Falcons to cover -5 against Seattle Seahawks

The Atlanta Falcons boast the NFL's best offense, averaging 34 points per game throughout the regular season, which increases to 35 at home! Digging even deeper in to the stats, the Falcons points per game increases to 38.5 for the last four games, winning all, to clinch the NFC South and secure home advantage in this game.

Whilst Seattle's defense ranks amongst the best in the league, they have shown signs of faltering in recent weeks, coinciding with the injury to defensive back, Earl Thomas, in week 13. In the two road games since then, they have given up 38 and 23 points against Green Bay and San Francisco, respectively. Add that to the offense's hot and cold form on the road in 2016, and they look a shadow of the feared playoff team they have become known as in the past five years, as they head to Atlanta.

Of their eight regular season road games, the Seahawks scored 10 points or less in half and only more than 30 points in one! Which team turns up against the Falcons is anyone's guess but given the offensive form of the home side, it is difficult to see the visitors keeping pace.

As last week proved, when all four winners covered the spread with ease, once teams get ahead, there is no easing down in the playoffs and with that in mind, we're confident that trend can continue this week. As such, take the Falcons to kick-off the weekend by covering -5 on Saturday.

New England Patriots to cover -15 against Houston Texans

The New England Patriots have looked the best team in the NFL all season and it hasn't been close. They are justifiably the 13/8 favourites to win Super Bowl and with home advantage, are just two wins at Gillette Stadium, away from a trip to Houston for Super Bowl 51.

These two sides met in week three, in New England, where the Patriots ran riot, winning 27-0, despite quarterback, Tom Brady, being suspended for the game!

The Pats have played the Texans eight times since they entered the league in 2002, winning seven! In the three games that Brady has played the Texans on home soil, the scores have been 41-28; 42-14 and 40-7 - It's safe to say that the three times winning quarterback enjoys scoring points against the Texans!

The spread of -15 is the highest projected margin of victory in the NFL playoffs since 1998, however, it is for good reason and the Pats are taken to breeze past 15 points, en route to a comfortable victory.

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys - Over 52 points

Calling the winner of this game is one to avoid! A solid case can be made for both these teams winning - will the unstoppable Cowboys make home advantage count? Dallas had a remarkable season thanks to the rookie running back/quarterback combination of Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott, who led the team to a 13-3 record, including a week six, 30-16, victory in Green Bay. Or will it be the experience of the Packers, who, after a faltering start to the season, have won their last seven games to get to this stage? Quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, who is looking to add a second Super Bowl ring to his collection, has been playing at such an elite level in recent weeks that it would take a brave person to bet against him - in the last five weeks, the Green Bay offense has scored 38-30-31-38 points in victory - all of which contributed to the game total going over!

Whilst firing on all cyclinders on one side of the ball, the Packers defense is far from polished and has been prone to giving up big totals to opponents all season, putting the team's fate in Rodgers' arm. The Cowboys averaged 26.3 points per game in the regular season and that can be expected to improve against this Packers defense, as the 30 points they put up in week six, illustrated. In response, Aaron Rodgers is predicted to continue orchestrtaing to the level he has in recent weeks and for the majority of his career, and as such, whilst it's the highest total of the four games, playing this game to go over 52 is a confident pick to complete another profitable weekend.

Posted: Friday, 13th January 2017
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

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