NFL 2017 Week 5 Picks

It was a winning week for the Betting Directory's NFL column, last Sunday, with all three picks winning to land a 6/1 treble, in addition to the usual recommended singles. As we look to make it back-to-back winning weekends, our attention turns to week five of the regular season and three bets on total points in games where the over looks the way to go to for what will hopefully be another profitable Sunday.

NFL 2017 Week 5 PicksOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: LA Chargers @ New York Giants - Over 45 Points
@ 10 / 11  
San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts - Over 44.5 Points
@ 10 / 11  
New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns - Over 39.5 Points
@ 10 / 11  

LA Chargers @ New York Giants - Over 45 Points

It is somewhat surprising to see both these teams start the season 0-4 and if either is to overcome the uphill task of turning its season around, they must start with a win on Sunday. It is the Giants that are the (-3) favourites to win but they are by no means a confident call to record their first win of the season. Equally, the Chargers are by no means a confident pick receiving the points...

Instead, it could pay to have a bet on this game going over the total points, which has been set at 45. Despite their woeful starts, both LA and New York have shown that they can score points - the Chargers have score more than 20 in two of their four games, whilst the Giants have scored 23 or more in their last three. In turn, both are leaking points at an alarming rate, so neither should have problems finding their opponents endzone on Sunday.

Historically, Eli Manning and Phillip Rivers, two of the NFL's most experienced quarterbacks, have faced each other on three occasions since they entered league in 2004 - the total points in those meetings have been 51, 41 and 68.

All things considered, the clear lean is to play the overs in the Big Apple.

San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts - Over 44.5 Points

This is another clash of two struggling side, with the 0-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts, where both team must win if they are to salvage anything from the remainder of the season.

Through four games, both teams have shown that they are capable of putting up points on the opposition, whilst leaking points at an alarming rate! The Colts are giving up an average of 23 points per game, whilst the 49ers are averaging 24 points per game. The spread to win game reflects that, with Indianapolis the marginal -1 favourites, but it should pay to play the over 44.5 points in the game.

A combination of two of the worst defenses in the league, together with a must-win attitude from both sides, should see this game go over.

New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns - Over 39.5 Points

In a similar vein to the other two picks, two struggling teams with questionable defenses can prove to be a successful recipe as the New York Jets travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns.

The Jets were widely tipped to be the worst team in the NFL prior to the start of the season but back-to-back wins have silenced critics and it is the Browns that are now regarded as the league's worst team and it is the visitors that are the -1 favourites. However, neither team could be picked with any degree of confidence to record the win, so the overs is once again, the fancied bet.

The total has been set at 39.5 and whilst both these teams have shown struggles on offense, their ailing defenses should ensure that this game turns in to something better than the bore-fest that the odds compilers imply.

Posted: Friday, 6th October 2017
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

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