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AV Referendum Odds: First Past The Post Or Not?

The Liberal Democrat Party are about to receive probably the only fillip to their time in power with the Conservatives, by way of the impending referendum on AV ( The Alternative Voting System). Nick Clegg whose rise from obscurity last year was mesmeric has since disillusioned many of the party faithful with his apparent support of the severe economic cuts especially in the field of education, a subject which the liberals had always seemed to champion. The promise of a referendum on the voting system was originally a deal maker in the hung parliament dilemma last year, but will the electorate be as excited or interested by the process? Bookmakers Paddy Power have unsurprisingly opened a book on the subject, concentrating not only on the outcome but also the turnout.

In the 2010 General Election 65.1% of those eligible to make their mark turned out, will this be higher or lower under the circumstances?. For Nick Clegg proportional representation would have been the real prize but David Cameron and his cohorts were unwilling to go that far so the spate of strange videos and PR stunts to explain the whole process are growing in number. The AV dilemma has been demonstrated by showing kids voting for their favourite crisps and even wild animals voting for their King of the jungle, all in a desperate attempt to simplify the complexity of the system and encourage the electorate to take part in May.

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