New Approach Irish Derby odds as expected have shortened. However, there are many quality punters who will seize the day on the current odds of the top class colt, for this weekend’s Irish Derby, believing he only has to turn up to repeat his Epsom success. They could well be right as it is difficult to see how any of the vanquished at Epsom can reverse the form so quickly. New Approach heads the field in what looks like a renewal of the English Classic, with the five of the first six horses home at Epsom, battling out again here at the Curragh. The ground should be similar and the distance is the same so how can anything, other than the favourite win? He is currently listed at somewhere between 10/11 and 5/6 with only Tartan Bearer (2nd at Epsom) anywhere close in the market at 3/1. These odds are likely to go even shorter as the race gets closer.
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Sir Michael Stoute does send over Tartan Bearer with a degree of confidence, he was definitely getting closer to New Approach at the finish at Epsom, but it must be remembered that New Approach, pulled badly during the race and probably could have run and won more easily. Stoute’s other runner, Derby 4th, Dr Fremantle has been withdrawn. Dermot Weld is optimistic about his entry, Casual Conquest, who was third at Epsom after having won the Derrinstown Derby Trial in great style; it was a win that earned him favouritism for Epsom at the time. Weld has said that his colt is still very immature, but has come out of Epsom in great shape and he expects him to run a big race, whether it is big enough to turn tables on both New Approach and Tartan Bearer is doubtful.
Posted: Thursday, 26th June 2008
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