The Market Moves in Eurovision 2016

Maybe it is a result of the first rehearsals, maybe it is the announcement of the running order of the semi-finals, possibly the betting public have simply given this year’s candidates a listen through but, whatever the reasons, there has been plenty of market movement amongst the Eurovision Song Contest contenders during the past fortnight.

Saturday 14th May - 7.00pm OddsWon/LostBet
Eurovision Song Contest
Read our Betting Preview  
Tips Spain Top-Ten Finish    Best Bet @ 13 / 8  
Australia (each way) @ 12 / 1  
France (each way) @ 10 / 1  
Latvia (each way) @ 33 / 1  
Bulgaria Top Balkan Country @ 5 / 4  

France Now 4’s

France has been one of the biggest movers. We put them forward at 10/1 two weeks ago, they are now into a top-priced 4/1. That is not a total surprise although this price shift cannot be attributed to a recent warm-up night in Amsterdam where 26 Eurovision acts performed the song they will be playing on the big night.

By all reports the French singer, Amir, failed to hit the high notes there and also mistimed his lyrics towards the end of his song which is a little short of the 3-minute maximum length it and all songs can last according to the Eurovision rules.

Sweden has gone the opposite direction in the market. The once 2/1 favourite can now be backed at 12/1 with Ladbrokes. Finally people have cottoned on to the fact a person talking over a track is not singing and this is a song contest!

Ignore the Latvian Drift

There was another rehearsal night in London a week later where the Bulgarian and Latvian entries were well received. Latvia is curious, as they were trading at single figures at the end of May but 25/1 is now available with Coral and Boylesports.

Giving the song a second listen and watching some of the footage from the London warm-up night I can understand why it was once 5/1 and cannot make any sense of its current 25/1 quote.

Their solo male singer is sure to be well received by the young female set and the substantial gay man portion of the voting public will also like 21-year-old Justs Sirmais.

The opening bars of his song, Heartbeat’, sounds very much like last year’s winning tune (Sweden’s ‘Heroes’ performed by Mans Zelmerlow) but it develops into a track which would work well in clubs.

If the Latvians could pull a rabbit out of the hat and give Justs some stage trickery – which is what put Sweden over the line last year – their song could make a mockery at that 25/1.

Latvian Price Disparity

That price is the head scratcher as Latvia is just 7/2 (Betfair) and 4/1 (Paddy Power) to win the second semi-final. That makes it third favourite amongst 19 acts (in the second semi) fighting for a top-10 place in order to make the grand-final. It is priced-up at 1/9 to make the final.

These short prices come despite the fact the young performer has got the very worst of the draw, stepping out on stage as the very first performing act on the second semi-final night, May 12th.

Given all of this, 25/1 has to be big and, while there are distractions of backing it to finish in the top-5 (just 7/5 at Betfair) or top10 (4/9), Boylesports ‘win market’ is the only place to shop as they are not only going joint top-price but also offering ¼ odds places 1-2-3-4.

Radio Can Make the Bulgarian a Video Star

As for Bulgaria… The country has missed the past couple of Eurovisons but return with the same artist which represented them in 2011, Poli Genova, when they finished 12th.

100/1 was available a month ago but following much toe-tapping and clapping from the audiences watching Poli’s rendition of ‘If Love Was a Crime’ at three warm-up events the best price available now is 33’s.

Giving this one a second listen there is no doubting it has a lot of radio mileage, more than most, and with an ideal semi-final draw (performing 13 of 19 in the second semi-final), the solo female Bulgarian will surely be back to perform on the hallowed final night where she can breach the top-10.

That outcome is 13/10 with Betfair but the better betting proposition is Paddy Power’s 5/4 about Bulgaria being the ‘Top Balkan Country’. Their market in this department also incorporates Serbia (10/11), Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, FYR Macedonia, Romania, Greece, Slovenia and Montenegro – all of which are 25/1.

Eurovision gets underway on May 10th with its first semi-final. The second semi is on May 12th and final on May 14th.

2016 Eurovision Song Contest Odds

Posted: Wednesday, 20th April 2016
Author: Roy Brindley

Archive - Previous 5 Specials Articles

2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets So Much Value in Eurovision Double Digit Entries
2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets
5th Apr
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview Eurovision 2016 Favourites Well Worth Taking On
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview
4th Apr
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer Brilliant World Champion Jessica EnnisHill Deserves SPOTY Award
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer
8th Dec
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career King Kevin Sinfield should be crowned Sports Personality of the Year
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career
2nd Dec
McCoy, Katarina JT And Root Also Feature Chris Froome and Lewis Hamilton top the 2015 Sports Personality of the Year betting
McCoy, Katarina JT And Root Also Feature
28th Jul

Headline News

Sevilla V Manchester United Betting Preview Manchester United to beat Sevilla in Champions League last 16 clash in Spain
Sevilla V Manchester United Betting Preview
Back Against BTTS In The 1st Leg Expect A Low Scoring Game As Shakhtar Host Roma In The Champions League Last 16
Back Against BTTS In The 1st Leg
2018 The Honda Classic Betting Preview Tommy Fleetwood Primed For A First PGA Tour Win At The Honda Classic
2018 The Honda Classic Betting Preview
2018 Qatar Masters Betting Preview George Coetzee Tops The Betting Shortlist For The Qatar Masters
2018 Qatar Masters Betting Preview

Bookmaker Offers

  • Place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses Paddy Power will refund your stake in CASH.
  • Max refund for this offer is £20
  • New customers only, limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer.
  • Over 18's Only, Terms and Conditions Apply

Open Account - £20 Risk Free Bet

  • Register and place an initial bet of £10
  • Boylesports will provide you with up to £25 in free bets

Open Account - £25 Free Bet

  • Enter the Promo Code F50 as you register
  • Place an initial bet of £10 or more
  • Ladbrokes will provide you a free bet of up to £50
  • Bet £50 and get £50 in free bets

Open Account - £50 Free Bet

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • Coral will provide you with £30 in free bets
  • Visit Coral for full details

Open Account - £30 Free Bet

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • Betfred will provide you with a £30 free bet that can be used on any sport
  • In addition to this, Betfred will provide you with 30 free spins on their online casino

Open Account - £30 Signup Offer

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • BetVictor will provide you with a £40 in bonus funds
  • In addition to this BetVictor will also provide you with a £10 casino bonus

Open Account - £40 Free Bet

Online Casino

Online Casino Blackjack and Roulette Games

Those looking for some online casino entertainment ought to check out all the latest UK Casino Sign Up offers from the top operators including 32Red and many of the sports betting casinos.

There is excellent information, should you be interested in playing online blackjack, roulette, the best progressives or slots - Online Casino Betting with the best introductory offers

Sports Calendar - Betting Fixtures