It’s Eurovision Semi-Final Time

Eurovision 2016 finally gets underway next week with the first of two semi-finals staged on Tuesday. The second semi-final is on Thursday while the Grand Final, which will be broadcast live to almost 200 million world-wide viewers, takes place on Saturday.

Tuesday 10th May - 7.00pm OddsWon/LostBet
Eurovision Song Contest Semi Finals    
Tips Malta (each way) first semi-final    Best Bet @ 12 / 1  
Australia (each way) second semi-final @ 3 / 1  
Australia to finish ahead of Sweden @ 4 / 5  
UK to finish ahead of Ireland @ 1 / 2  

As defending champions Sweden are the 2016 Eurovision hosts, with Stockholm’s 16,000 seater Ericsson Globe the venue for all of the week’s activities. In addition to home-advantage, if there is such a thing, Sweden are one of six countries that are fast-tracked into the final.

Sweden have earned that place by virtue of being defending champions, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK, known as ‘the Big Five’, have had the privilege of being placed directly in the final since 2000. It is in return for being one of the five main sponsoring countries.

If that is considered unfair what about the running order in which acts perform? Most would think this is a straightforward fair and random draw. Nonsense, the Eurovision Song Contest is a TV show and in the best traditions of television that order of appearance is decided by producers to maximise the number of viewers it can attract and to keep watching.

To quote Eurovision executives: “The complete starting order of the three shows of the 2016 Eurovision Song Contest will be determined by the producers of the show to ensure that each song stands out and to create a more exciting television show.”

And then there is another kicker… The winner of the competition is known by the organisers the moment public voting has closed. However, again for the betterment of the TV show, executives chose to manipulate the order that countries announce their votes in order to keep the outright winner’s identity unapparent for as long as possible!

These are all potential pitfalls which must be considered when betting on this year’s event. As it happens we have put these and other factors into our calculations and here’s what we have come up with.

Semi-Final No.1

Finland are over 600/1 to win the competition on the Betfair Exchange and Eurovision organisers have punished them for offering up a woeful song by ordering them to open the show.

Russia, the outright competition favourites on the other hand, have been bestowed the No. 9 slot, which exactly halfway through the running order. They are as short as 1/5 to win this semi-final with some firms.

Hills are going each-way terms of 1/5rd the odds positions 1-2-3. Resultantly they are only going 6/1 about Malta in this semi-final, whilst Betfair sportsbook, who are ‘win only’, are offering 14/1 about the Mediterranean Island.

Malta, who are 16/1 fourth favourites to win the competition outright, have a pimp seat in the semi-final performing 18 of 18 and for that reason they have a massive advantage. For me they cannot be kept outside of the top-three on Tuesday.

I’m hoping it’s a top-two as SkyBet’s 12/1 about Malta is getting my each-way play albeit their terms are 1/3rd odds positions 1-2.

Semi-Final No.2

With France and Sweden fast-tracked into the final and Malta and Russia in the opening semi, Australia is the shortest priced country (in the outright betting) left contesting a semi-final.

Their female solo artist performs tenth in this second semi but Ukraine are up four acts later and that sees them trade shortest in the betting, they are generally 5/2 favourites to win Thursday night’s 18-runner competition.

This semi may well be a tightly run affair. As well as Ukraine, Australia, Bulgaria (perform twelfth), Serbia (sixth) and Latvia (opening the show) all trade under 8/1 to win it.

With it being so competitive the votes are likely to be well spread out and so the benefit of performing late may not be so pronounced. Therefore I’m sticking with Australia, who are 9/4 to finish in the top four of the contest (while all of their semi-final market rivals are 3/1 or greater), to win this semi.

Other Bets

Of the other markets which have recently cropped-up, Betfair’s 4/5 about Australia to finish ahead of Sweden looks massive. Sweden is the most enthusiastic Eurovision country of them all but their song is not a song and it could well bomb with only Scandinavian countries seemingly liking its ‘talk along’ style.

The Australian’s finished fifth last year with a song seemingly not deserved of such a high finishing position. That indicates the country’s neutrality and lack of historic rivalry with the other 41 voting countries will see them do exceptionally well again.

Meanwhile, Paddy Power have made a mistake with their 1/2 about the UK to beat the Irish entry. It is a bet which could be paid out as soon as Thursday night as Ireland have to make it through the semi-finals before facing the UK in the final, a final they have a fast-track ticket into.

With Ireland 66/1 to win their semi and 11/20 (with Sportingbet) to not finish in the top-10 (and therefore not qualify for the final) Powers have clearly made some incorrect calculations and they should be punished.

2016 Eurovision Odds

Posted: Wednesday, 4th May 2016
Author: Chris Knight

Archive - Previous 5 Specials Articles

Add Latvia To Your Portfolio And Take An Interest In Bulgaria The Market Moves in Eurovision 2016
Add Latvia To Your Portfolio And Take An Interest In Bulgaria
20th Apr
2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets So Much Value in Eurovision Double Digit Entries
2016 Eurovision Song Contest Best Bets
5th Apr
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview Eurovision 2016 Favourites Well Worth Taking On
Part 1 Of Our Eurovision Preview
4th Apr
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer Brilliant World Champion Jessica EnnisHill Deserves SPOTY Award
Stunning Comeback Should See The Award Go To Multi Eventer
8th Dec
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career King Kevin Sinfield should be crowned Sports Personality of the Year
Rugby League Legend Deserves Accolade After Fine Career
2nd Dec

Headline News

Rangers V Celtic Betting Preview A Celtic Win And Both Teams To Score Is The Bet For The Old Firm Derby
Rangers V Celtic Betting Preview
West Ham V Tottenham Betting Preview Tottenham To Enjoy The Better Of A Bad Tempered Clash With West Ham
West Ham V Tottenham Betting Preview
German Bundesliga Treble Pays 4/1 Dortmund Tipped To Continue Their Flying Start In This Weekends Bundesliga Treble
German Bundesliga Treble Pays 4/1
Fiorentina Should Be Too Strong For Atalanta On Sunday Night In Form Milan Clubs Headline Exciting Looking Serie A Treble Bet
Fiorentina Should Be Too Strong For Atalanta On Sunday Night
Broncos Tipped To March On And Unders Plays Suggested In New York And London NFL 2017 Week Three Picks
Broncos Tipped To March On And Unders Plays Suggested In New York And London

Bookmaker Offers

  • Deposit between £10 and £200
  • Bet365 will match this with a signup bonus to the same amount
  • Register at Bet365 for full terms

Open Account - £200 Signup Bonus

  • Deposit and place an initial bet of between £10 and £20
  • If your bet loses, Paddy Power will refund your stake, up to a maximum of £20
  • Unlike most other offers, your stake is returned to you as cash!

Open Account - £20 Risk Free Bet

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • Coral will provide you with £30 in free bets
  • Visit Coral for full details

Open Account - £30 Free Bet

  • Enter the Promo Code F50 as you register
  • Place an initial bet of £10 or more
  • Ladbrokes will provide you a free bet of up to £50
  • Bet £50 and get £50 in free bets

Open Account - £50 Free Bet

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • BetVictor will provide you with a £40 in bonus funds
  • In addition to this BetVictor will also provide you with a £10 casino bonus

Open Account - £40 Free Bet

  • Deposit and place a initial bet of £10
  • Betfred will provide you with a £30 free bet that can be used on any sport
  • You also get a £30 free casino bonus

Open Account - £60 Signup Offer

  • Enter the Promo Code C30 as you register a new account
  • Place an initial bet of £10
  • William Hill will give you three £10 free bets

Open Account - £30 Free Bet

  • Register and place 5 x £10 single bets.
  • Betfair will give you a £20 free bet
  • This can be reapted up to 5 times (5 x £20 free bets)
  • New customers only

Open Account - £100 In Free Bets

Online Casino

Online Casino Blackjack and Roulette Games

Those looking for some online casino entertainment ought to check out all the latest UK Casino Sign Up offers from the top operators including 32Red and many of the sports betting casinos.

There is excellent information, should you be interested in playing online blackjack, roulette, the best progressives or slots - Online Casino Betting with the best introductory offers

Sports Calendar - Betting Fixtures