England take on Scotland on Saturday morning in New Zealand in what is a vital World Cup Pool B match, the winner likely to progress to the quarter-finals. Martin Johnson's side are well fancied to take the points and go through to the quarter-finals as group winners, with Bet365 going 1/7 about England's chances. Scotland must win by eight clear points if they are to stand a chance of qualifying for the knockout stages and Andy Robinson's side are 5/1 chances, with the unlikely draw available to back at 33/1.
England have made heavy work of their World Cup campaign to date, struggling to overcome an organised Argentinian side in their opener, eventually winning 13-9. The team gave away a plethora of penalties in that match an continued to do so in their 41-10 win over Georgia in their second match. A 67-3 victory over Romaina was an improvement but Martin Johnson will be looking for a really solid win over Scotland to boost morale and get the press on side for the knockout stages.
Scotland have also struggled in New Zealand, beating Romania but conceding two tries in the process (34-24) and only a 15-6 win over the tough Georgians. A narrow 13-12 defeat to Argentina in their last game means that Andy Robinson's side are now as big as 10/1 to qualify for the quarter finals with Stan James.
Bet 365 have put up a handicap line of eleven points for Saturday's clash, with England even money -11 points and Scotland even money +11 points. The way in which the tournament has gone so far for both teams this could well be a close game, with the Scots fighting for their World Cup lives. In fact, of the last six games between the two sides in Six Nations rugby, the Scots would have come out on top with an eleven points headstart so perhaps they are a decent bet on the handicap.
Delon Armitage has been recalled for the English and he replaces Mark Cueto on the wing, despite Cueto's hat-trick against the Romanian's. Armitage is 11/1 to score the first try on Saturday with Chris Ashton the favourite at 15/2 with Paddy Power. Ashton has scored five tries so far and leads top tryscorer charts. Jonny Wilkinson makes his 90th appearance for England, despite controvery about England changing the balls in their last match and it's 6/4 that the first scoring play is an England penalty.
Scotland will do their best to tie England down and the liklihood is that it will become a battle of the forwards. Martin Johnson's side have been guilty of giving away far too many penalties at the breakdown and Andy Robinson will be doing his level best to make sure Scotland exploit this weakness. This could be a really tense occassion, with England favourites to make the quarter-finals. Martin Johnson's side are 10/1 third favourites with Bet365 to lift the trophy for the first time since 2003.
Match Betting
1/6 England
33/1 Draw
5/1 Scotland
Handicap Betting
Evs England -11
Evs Scotland +11
16/1 Draw
First Tryscorer
15/2 Chris Ashton
10/1 Manu Tuilagi
11/1 Delon Armitage
12/1 Max Evans
12/1 Ben Foden
12/1 Sean Lamont
16/1 Joe Ansbro
16/1 Tom Croft
16/1 James Haskell
18/1 Ben Youngs
18/1 Mike Tindall
Tryscorer odds supplied by Paddypower.com.
First Scoring Play
6/4 England Penalty
15/8 Scotland Penalty
4/1 England Try
8/1 Scotland Try
14/1 England Drop Goal
14/1 Scotland Drop Goal
2011 Rugby World Cup Outright Odds
1/2 New Zealand
8/1 Australia
9/1 South Africa
10/1 England
14/1 France
20/1 Ireland
28/1 Wales
100/1 BAR
Odds supplied by Bet365.com, with live betting in-running throughout Saturday's match.
Posted: Thursday, 29th September 2011
Author: Russell Lloyd
Tags: rugby world cup, england, scotland, jonny wilkinson, bet365,
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