Odds Favour Leinster aganst London Irish in Heineken Cup Decider

London Irish take on reigning Heineken Cup champions Leinster this week at Twickenham, knowing that to qualify for the quarter-finals they must win by at least seven points and score a bonus point in the process.

Leinster will start the match as favourites, but ‘Irish’ will know that they have already beaten the champions once in this tournament and a with a good performance they can do so again. The betting is very close, with Paddy Power having Leinster at 8/15 odds on and London Irish 6/4. The unlikely draw is priced at 20/1.

The exiles have only themselves to blame for their difficult plight, they had their last match a fortnight ago against Scarletts won with 20 minutes left, but a total lack of concentration with some added panic, cost them three tries in the closing stages and now its Scarletts who look most likely to qualify with Leinster from the Pool. .

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Leinster expect to be at full strength for the match, which means that Irish will face the formidable British Lions quartet of Brian O’Driscoll, Rob Kearney, Jamie Heaslip and Gordon D’Arcy. Meanwhile ‘Irish’ will also expect to be able to name a full strength team that should include England scrum half Paul Hodgson, but it will not be known until just before kick- off of who will wear the number 10 jersey; it will either be Chris Malone or Ryan Lamb.

The odds of London Irish securing their seven point win are reasonably attractive and we always believe that when a team has to achieve a target it often pays to back them. We therefore would be tempted to have a flutter on a London Irish win by a margin of between 6-10 points which can be backed at 7/1 with Paddy Power. Other Winning Margin options can be seen below.

Match Betting
8/15 Leinster
6/4 London Irish
20/1 Draw

Winning Margin Odds
4/1 Leinster 1-5 pts
9/2 Leinster 6-10 pts
5/1 London Irish 1-5 pts
13/2 Leinster 11-15 pts
7/1 London Irish 6-10 pts

Odds provided by Paddy Power

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