Two time champions Munster will be hurting after failing to qualify for the Heineken Cup knock-out stages for the first time in 12 years and London Irish could feel their wrath when the two sides meet at Thomond Park on Saturday. Munster are hot favourites in the betting for the final Pool match with Paddy Power as they are 1/5 on, with London Irish available at 10/3, and the unlikely draw can be backed at 22/1.
The Irish side's failure to qualify for the quarter-finals was confirmed by their 32-16 defeat to Pool Three winners Toulon last weekend. They occupy second place with no chance of reaching the Heineken Cup last eight and will be hurt by the knowledge that the last time that happened was when they finished bottom of their pool back in the 1997/98 season. Munster will ring the changes for the match on Saturday as a result, with Johne Murphy, Denis Hurley, James Coughlan, Mick O'Driscoll, Lifeimi Mafi and Tomas O'Leary all coming in for the final group game.
Number 9 O'Leary will have a point to prove after being left out last week and the winger could be backed to score the first try this weekend. PaddyPower.com offer the betting market of 'position to score the first try' and it could be worth backing the number 9, 10, 12 or 13 to score the first try at 15/8 in the betting. He and the rest of the side will be looking to bounce back and for London Irish the match could be a mirror of that classic old saying 'beware a wounded animal'.
We fancy bottom of Pool Three London Irish could struggle on Saturday and they were hit by bad news in the week with the confirmation of an 8 week suspension for Delon Armitage. They do bring in Darren Allinson and Adam Thompsone for Saturday but they have been in wretched form of late. Last weekend's 24-12 win over Ospreys was their first win in 11, although they did beat Munster when the two sides last met in October at the Madejski.
It may effectively be a dead rubber at the weekend but Munster can be backed to win by a margin of 6-10 points at 4/1 in the betting with Paddy Power which could provide some value for the punter. In the handicap betting Munster are 10/11 to win with a handicap of -9, with London Irish the same price with +9. The other market that could provide some interest is that of a forward to score the first try as a 15/8 bet.
Munster v London Irish Tips
Tip #1: Munster to win by 6-10 points @ 4/1 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #2: Munster to win with the handicap of -9 @ 10/11 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #3: Numbers 9, 10, 12 or 13 to score the first try in the match @ 15/8 with PaddyPower.com bookmakers
Match Betting
1/5 Munster
22/1 Draw
10/3 London Irish
Handicap Odds
10/11 Munster -9
10/11 London Irish +9
22/1 Draw
Winning Points Margin Odds
9/2 Munster by 1-5 points
4/1 Munster by 6-10 points
5/1 Munster by 11-15 points
13/2 Munster by 16-20 points
6/1 London Irish by 1-5 points
11/1 London Irish by 6-10 points
20/1 London Irish by 11-15 points
35/1 London Irish by 16-20 points
Odds supplied by PaddyPower.com, who provide a variety of betting markets for this match and all the weekend's Heineken Cup fixtures.
Posted: Friday, 21st January 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: heineken cup, munster, london irish, tomas oleary, paddypower,
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