Cardiff Blues face a must win clash against Pool One leaders Northampton Saints in Sunday's Heineken Cup clash. If Cardiff lose at Cardiff City Stadium they are out of the competition but they do go in as marginal favourites with Bet365 bookmakers at 8/13 in the betting. Northampton have been in excellent form all season and surprisingly are slightly less fancied at 5/4, while the draw is an 18/1 bet.
The two sides met last week at Franklin Gardens with Northampton emerging victorious by 23-15 to preserve their 100 per cent record in the Heineken Cup this season. Cardiff are currently third in Pool One with five points and have only won one of the their last six matches in the competition. Furthermore they have lost four of the last five matches against the Saints, although they were leading 12-10 at half time last weekend. Northampton have made a habit of coming from behind in their Heineken Cup fixtures this term, losing at half time in all three before coming back to win. The double result on Sunday in the betting with Bet365.com of a half time Cardiff win and Full Time Northampton win is well worth a look at 13/2.
On Sunday Cardiff are boosted by the return of Jamie Roberts after five months out with injury, but Rhys Thomas and Tom Shanklin are doubts, while Leigh Halfpenny, Ben Blair and Deiniol Jones are definitely out.
Northampton received a double boost of their own this week with the news that Brian Mujati and Brett Shannon have signed new contracts and they will be keen to consolidate their position at the top of Pool One on Sunday. They have 10 points, winning all three of their games this season and are one point clear of Castres. They possess one of the strongest scrums in the European game and look a decent bet to end Cardiff's Heineken Cup hopes for the season.
The Northampton win by 1-5 points with Bet365 is 5/1 in the betting, or for the more conservative punter the Saints win by a margin of 1-12 points is 2/1. Cardiff will have to produce something special if they are to overcome Saints and they don't seem to represent much value at 10/11 with a handicap of -3, while Northampton are the same price with +3. The most likely way Cardiff will win is by a narrow margin and the Cardiff win by 1-5 points is currently 9/2 with Bet365.com bookmakers.
Cardiff v Northampton Tips
Tip #1: Double result of Half Time Cardiff win and Full Time Northampton win @ 13/2
Tip #2: Northampton to win by 1-5 points @ 5/1
Tip #3: Northampton to win with the handicap at +3 @ 10/11
Match Betting
8/13 Cardiff
18/1 Draw
5/4 Northampton
Handicap Odds
10/11 Cardiff -3
10/11 Northampton +3
16/1 Draw
Winning Points Margin Odds
9/2 Cardiff by 1-5 points
6/4 Cardiff by 1-12 points
11/2 Cardiff by 6-10 points
13/2 Cardiff by 11-15 points
7/2 Cardiff by 13+ points
5/1 Northampton by 1-5 points
2/1 Northampton by 1-12 points
13/2 Northampton by 6-10 points
9/1 Northampton by 11-15 points
13/2 Northampton by 13+ points
Odds supplied by Bet365.com, who provide several other betting markets for this match and all Heineken Cup fixtures.
Posted: Friday, 17th December 2010
Author: Chris James
Tags: heineken cup, cardiff blues, northampton saints, chris ashton, bet365,
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