Scotland take on Italy on Saturday afternoon at Murrayfield and know only victory will do if they are to avoid the Six Nations wooden spoon. Scotland have lost all of their games so far and are 4/11 on to beat the Italians according to Victor Chandler, while Italy will be buoyed by their first win after they shocked France last weekend and can be backed at odds of 2/1, with the draw available at 20/1.
The wooden spoon has often been taken by the Italians but last weekend's result has heaped all the pressure on Scotland ahead of the match at Murrayfield. The Scots last finished bottom in 2007 when the Italians stunned them by winning 37-17 at Murrayfield and a repeat of that scoreline is unthinkable for Andy Robinson's team.
Robinson has vowed to play with pace after his side narrowly lost 22-16 to England last weekend and Geoff Cross comes in at tight head prop for Euan Murray after impressing off the bench last weekend. There was also good news as Kelly Brown is fit after his clash with Matt Banahan. We fancy Scotland will attack from the off on Saturday as they have plenty to prove and will have been boosted by the manner of their defeat to England, so it could be worth a look at the first scoring play being a Scotland try at odds of 4/1 with VictorChandler.com.
Alternatively there is the tempting double result market of a half time draw and full time Scotland win which is offered at odds of 18/1. Scotland found themselves in a similar position last year as they needed to beat Ireland in their final match to avoid the wooden spoon and they upset the odds to pull off a 24-21 win. Recent history is in their favour as they haven't not won a match since 2004, although they have only managed to win one game in each of the last four Six Nations tournaments.
Italy meanwhile will be buzzing after their 22-21 win over France last weekend in Rome which was possibly the greatest result in their history. Mirco Bergamasco finally found his kicking boots after a poor tournament so far, but they have surprisingly opted to make six changes to the team that won last weekend, as Alberto Sgarbi, Kris Burton, Paul Derbyshire, Leonardo Ghiraldini, Salvatore Perugini and Quintin Geldenhuyo come in. It is an odd move to change a winning side and that could just disrupt their winning momentum.
The Italians have only suffered one humiliating defeat this season when they were overawed by England at Twickenham and all of their other matches have been tight affairs. They look well placed in the handicap market with VC Bet giving them an advantage of +7 points and can be backed at odds of 10/11. However, the changes to their side could do more harm than good and we think Scotland could get the win they need and avoid that wooden spoon, with a Scotland winning margin of 1-5 points tempting odds of 5/1.
Find out more about the match odds, team form and latest team news for Scotland and Italy at our dedicated Six Nations mini-site.
Scotland v Italy Form
Check the season's statistics for both Scotland and Italy plus the odds ahead of Saturday's match.
Scotland v Italy Tips
Tip #1: First scoring play to be a Scotland try @ 4/1 with VictorChandler.com
Tip #2: Italy to win with a handicap advantage of +7 points @ 10/11 with VictorChandler.com
Tip #3: Scotland to win by a margin of 1-5 points @ 5/1 with VictorChandler.com
Match Betting
4/11 Scotland
20/1 Draw
2/1 Italy
Handicap Odds
10/11 Scotland -7 points
10/11 Italy +7 points
Winning Points Margin Odds
5/1 Scotland by 1-5 points
9/2 Scotland by 6-10 points
11/2 Scotland by 11-15 points
7/1 Scotland by 16-20 points
11/2 Italy by 1-5 points
8/1 Italy by 6-10 points
12/1 Italy by 11-15 points
22/1 Italy by 16-20 points
Odds supplied by VictorChandler.com, who provide a variety of betting markets, including betting in running, for this match and all the weekend's Six Nations fixtures.
Posted: Thursday, 17th March 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: six nations, scotland, italy, wooden spoon, victor chandler,
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