Llanelli Scarlets take on the might of the Leicester Tigers in this Round 5 Heineken Cup Pool 5 clash at the Parc Y Scarlets knowing that victory will secure safe passage to the knock out stages and spell the end of a Leicester challenge for another year. The Bookmakers however only see this match going one way making Leicester Odds on favourites with PaddyPower offering the best industry win price of 4/9, with Scarlets at 7/4.
Currently Scarlets sit on top of Pool 5 with 15 points, while Leicester are next with 13, however, with the final outcome of the pool a long way off being decided, and Perpignan still very much in the mix, winning this match is the only outcome that matters to either side. It is why fans can expect a cup final atmosphere with Leicester in particular going all out to win in the belief that defeat will ultimately mean their exit from the tournament.
The two sides last met at Welford Road in October where the ‘Tigers’ absolutely thrashed Scarlets by 46-10. It was a very one sided affair which made something of a mockery of Scarlets position at the top of the Pool. The truth of the matter however is that Scarlets just had a bad day at the office and the fact that they have won their other three matches in the Pool more accurately reflects their good form.
Scarlets also sit in second place in the Magners League and since the defeat at Leicester they have won nine and drawn one of their last 12 games. Add to the mix that they have only lost once at home all season in any competition then it becomes clear that the Bookmakers may have their calculations all wrong and that Scarlets would look a good bet on the handicap at least with PaddyPower offering 10/11 on a +5 for Scarlets and 10/11 on -5 for Leicester with the draw being at 22/1.
The game is a very hard one to call but Leicester do appear to be in their best form of the season, winning their last three games including victory over Aviva Premiership leaders Northampton last week. Scarlets will undoubtedly be a tough match for them but Leicester will come into the match needing the win more and should get home by at least 5 points. A winning margin bet of between 1-5 points can be backed with paddypower at 9/2.
4/9 Leicester
7/4 Llanelli
20/1 Draw
Odds provided by Paddy Power.com who will be operating an in-play market during this match.
Posted: Friday, 14th January 2011
Author: Rodney Wise
Tags: heineken cup, parc y scarlets, llanelli scarlets, leicester tigers, paddypower,
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