Week two of the 2011 Six Nations sees England host Italy at Twickenham on Saturday afternoon as the home side look to build on their clinical win over Wales last weekend. Italy were desperately unlucky to lose to Ireland in their first match in Rome, but we fancy they could be on the receiving end of a bit of a hammering this weekend as Paddy Power make England 1/40 long odds on favourites, while Italy are massive outsiders at 50/1, with the draw is12/1.
England's 26-19 win over Wales at the Millennium Stadium was their first win in Cardiff since 2003 and was hugely impressive for the way they took their chances in the match. They are likely to get plenty more chances against Italy this weekend and if they are anywhere near as clinical they could rack up quite a score. England to win with the handicap at -23 points is well worth a look and can be backed at odds of 10/11 with Paddy Power.
Italy probably should have beaten Ireland in their match at the Stadio Flaminio on Saturday but were undone by a last gasp Ronan O'Gara drop goal, and the disappointment of that could still be lingering this weekend. They only won one match in last season's Six Nations, at home to Scotland, and their away form is far from impressive in the competition which doesn't bode well for Twickenham.
The last time they played at Twickenham they lost 36-11 in 2009 but England are much improved since then and the England winning margin of 26-30 points on Saturday can be backed at an industry best price of 6/1 with PaddyPower.com.
England have resisted the temptation to rest players this weekend and Martin Johnson has picked a strong England team that includes last weekend's man of the match Toby Flood and double try scoring hero Chris Ashton. Despite Ashton receiving plenty of criticism for his showboating antics in scoring the first try against Wales, he remains a potent threat to any opposition's try line.
He is 11/2 favourite to score the first try of the match this weekend, but we fancy him to score two or more tries at odds of 11/4. While the ever impressive Ben Youngs is 21/10 to score a try anytime. For Italy their main threat comes from Mirco Bergamasco, despite his poor kicking last weekend, and he looks a good price with Paddy Power to be the first tryscorer for Italy at 6/1.
Get the latest betting preview and team news for England v Italy.
England should win this match comfortably as they have never lost to Italy in 16 matches between the two and anything other than a resounding win would be a disappointment with tougher matches lying in wait.
England v Italy Tips
Tip #1: England to win with a handicap of -23 points @ 10/11 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #2: Chris Ashton to score two or more tries in the match @ 11/4 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #3: England to win by 26-30 points @ 6/1 with PaddyPower.com
Match Betting
1/40 England
12/1 Draw
50/1 Italy
Handicap Odds
10/11 England -23
10/11 Italy +23
25/1 Draw
Winning Points Margin Odds
10/1 England by 1-5 points
7/1 England by 6-10 points
13/2 England by 11-15 points
11/2 England by 16-20 points
11/2 England by 21-25 points
6/1 England by 26-30 points
20/1 Italy by 1-5 points
First Tryscorer Odds
11/2 Chris Ashton
13/2 Mark Cueto
9/1 Ben Foden
10/1 Matt Banahan
12/1 Nick Easter
12/1 Ben Youngs
12/1 Mike Tindall
14/1 BAR
Odds supplied by PaddyPower.com, who provide a variety of betting markets for this match and all the weekend's Six Nations fixtures.
Posted: Thursday, 10th February 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: six nations, england, itay, chris ashton, paddypower,
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