France can ill afford any slip ups when they take on Italy at the Stadio Flaminio in Rome on Saturday after their damaging defeat to England last time out. The French will be hoping other Six Nations results go their way and start as odds on favourites at 1/20 to win the match with Bet 365, while the same bookmaker offers industry best prices of 10/1 for a shock Italy win and 50/1 for an unlikely draw.
The French have been mauled by the media since their 17-9 defeat to England at Twickenham which has left the Grand Slam champions in third place in the Six Nations table. They need Scotland to cause an upset when they play England at Twickenham this weekend if they are to maintain hopes of another Six Nations win, although the French will need to take care of their own business in Rome.
Coach Marc Lievremont has risked the wrath of the French public by including Sebastien Chabal in his starting lineup despite the player's woeful display against England. Meanwhile Clement Poitrenaud, Thomas Domingo and Imano Harinordoquy have all been dropped and will be replaced by Maxime Medard, Sylvain Marconnet and Julien Bonnaire respectively.
It will be vital for France to get off to a quick start on Saturday and it is worth a look at the highest scoring half of the match being the first half at odds of 11/10 with Bet365.com, and the same bookmaker offers odds of 5/6 for France to not trail at any point in the match. There could also be some value to be found in backing the first scoring play of the match to be a France penalty at odds of 17/10.
Italy meanwhile have been unfortunate at times so far this year as they lost narrowly at home to Ireland by 13-11 and to Wales by 24-16, while the 59-13 defeat to England could be put down to them being overawed at Twickenham. They have gradually improved and if they had a reliable goal kicker you fancy they may have snatched a win from at least one of those matches in Rome.
While it is difficult to see anything other than a French win it could be worth a look at the handicap odds as the Italians are a tricky opponent at their Stadio Flaminio home. France found that to their cost when they last lost to Italy in 1997 and Italy could be worth a look in the handicap at odds of 10/11 with an advantage of +16.5 points. Italy will move on to face Scotland in their final Six Nations match next week in what could be a wooden spoon decider, so a strong performance is vital this weekend to ensure morale remains high.
The France win by a margin of 1-12 points worth a look at industry best priced odds of 7/4 with Bet 365, and the French will need to win to ensure there is still meaning to their final match of their tournament against Wales next week.
Find out more about the match odds, team form and latest team news for Italy and France at our dedicated Six Nations mini-site.
Italy v France Form
Check the season's statistics for both Italy and France plus the odds ahead of Saturday's match.
Italy v France Tips
Tip #1: First scoring play to be a French penalty @ 17/10 with Bet365.com
Tip #2: Italy to win with the handicap set at +16.5 points @ 10/11 with Bet365.com
Tip #3: France to win by 1-12 points @ 7/4 with Bet365.com
Match Betting
10/1 Italy
50/1 Draw
1/20 France
Handicap Odds
10/11 Italy +16.5
10/11 France -16.5
Winning Points Margin Odds
7/4 France by 1-12 points
7/1 France by 1-5 points
5/1 France by 6-10 points
9/2 France by 11-15 points
4/7 France by 13+ points
5/1 France by 16-20 points
11/1 Italy by 1-12 points
8/1 Italy by 1-5 points
Odds supplied by Bet365.com, who provide a variety of betting markets for this match and all the weekend's Six Nations fixtures.
Posted: Wednesday, 9th March 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: six nations, italy, france, sebastien chabalet, bet365,
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