Gullinbursti tipped to cause Sky Bet Chase shock at Doncaster

Saturday 30th January, 2016 - 3:15 Doncaster - Sky Bet Chase

Paul Nicholls has tasted success twice before in the Sky Bet Chase as he followed up his victory with Colouful Life in 2005 by saddling Big Fella Thanks to glory in 2009 and the Ditcheat handler will bid for a hat-trick of wins in the Doncaster showpiece on Saturday afternoon when he unleashes Le Mercurey in 3m 6y Listed event.

  • Paul Nicholls has trained the winner twice (saddles Le Mercurey)
  • 10 of the last 15 winners have carried less than 11st
  • Ikorodu Road and Ziga Boy both won last time out

Le Mercurey Heads The Betting For Nicholls

A smart hurdler, Le Mercurey blossomed earlier in the season when sent over fences as he firstly recorded a comfortable win at Plumpton on his chasing debut before downing the classy duo of Thomas Brown and Out Sam in Ascot's Grade 2 Noel Novices' Chase, but defeat in the Dipper Novices' Chase at Cheltenham has left Nicholls go in searching of this valuable handicap prize, and the six-year-old has been installed as the 6/1 favourite with Ladbrokes.

Handed a mark of 142 for this event, Le Mercurey has certainly been given a chance by the handicapper, but his jumping is sure to be tested in this ultra-competitive renewal and against some proven staying chasers he could well find things a little too tough and at the price could be worth ignoring.

Evan Williams's Buywise has been knocking on the door in these sort of handicaps for a couple of seasons, but his sketchy jumping often sees him on the back foot in his races, so whilst he will be a major player if improving his jumping it's hard to see him getting his nose in front and the 8/1 with William Hill is another to bypass.

Low Weights Could Figure Prominently

The last two winners of this race, The Rainbow Hunter and If In Doubt, have both carried less than 11st and so it's worth venturing into the lower echelons of the handicap for potential winners and you couldn't have helped but be impressed by Ziga Boy's win last time out over course and distance and he's entitled to be a 7/1 shot with Betfred.

He eased to victory that day and a repeat of that display should see him on the vicinity, but he has been upped a staggering 15lb by the handicapper and that could well be too much of a burden to carry and whilst he can sneak into the placings he may just find one rival a little too hot for him on the day.

Emma Lavelle's Gullinbursti has struggled to get his head in front over the last few seasons, but he has gradually slipped back to an attractive mark and he could well outrun his 14/1 odds with BetVictor and if he can build on his comeback run at Ascot last time out then should be a terrific each-way contender.

Slipping back down to his last winning mark of 134, Gullinbursti should have no worries with the ground conditions on Town Moor and with stamina not an issue he can be doing his best work at the end and at least bag a place in what is a terrific betting heat for all to enjoy this weekend.

Holywell Faces Tough Task Off Top Weight

Jonjo O'Neill's Holywell is the class act of the race, but with the burden of top weight the Jackdaws Castle inmate will struggle to get back on the winning trail, but whilst some may enjoy snapping up the 8/1 about this former Cheltenham Festival winner, he has just been struggling of late to get involved on the front end, and may find it tough again.

Of the others, Charlie Longsdon's Coologue (11/1) is lightly-raced and has the potential to improve and could be one of the improving contenders to figure prominently, whilst the likes of Dolatulo (12/1) and No Planning (16/1) add superb depth to what will be one of the highlights of the racing weekend.

Saturday 30th January - 3.15pm OddsWon/LostBet
Sky Bet Chase    
Tips Gullinbursti (each-way)    Best Bet @ 14 / 1  

2016 Sky Bet Chase Odds

Visit Paddypower Visit Betfred Visit Ladbrokes Visit Coral Visit Bet365 Visit VCBet Visit Skybet
10 10 10 10 12 10 10
12 12 12 12 12 12 10
14 12 12 10 12 12 12
12 14 12 14 14 12 12
10 12 12 10 12 14 14
14 14 14 14 12 14 16
14 16 16 16 16 16 16
12 14 14 14 14 14 16
16 14 14 14 16 14 14
16 16 16 16 16 16 16
16 16 16 16 16 16 16
16 16 14 12 16 16 16
12 14 14 16 16 16 16
16 16 16 16 14 16 14
16 20 16 16 16 16 12
14 10 12 10 20 10 16
14 12 14 16 16 16 20
16 20 16 16 14 20 16
16 16 16 16 20 16 16
20 20 20 20 16 20 16
20 14 16 14 16 16 16
20 16 16 16 16 16 14
20 16 20 20 20 16 16
16 16 16 16 20 20 14
14 20 16 16 20 20 16
20 20 20 20 20 20 20
10 25 14 14 12 20 16
16 25 16 16 16 20 16
20 25 20 20 20 20 25
25 20 25 20 25 20 25
25 20 25 25 25 20 25
20 20 25 25 25 20 20
25 25 25 25 16 25 25
20 20 25 25 25 25 25
25 16 20 16 20 16 16
20 20 25 25 25 20 20
20 20 20 25 16 20 25
25 16 25 25 20 16 20
20 25 25 25 20 25 25
25 25 25 20 25 25 25
16 33 16 16 33 33 33
33 33 33 33 33 33 33
25 20 25 25 33 25 25
40 33 33 40 40 33 33
33 25 33 33 40 33 33
40 33 33 40 40 33 33

Posted: Friday, 29th January 2016
Author: Steve Chambo

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