James Garfield tipped to storm to Mill Reef Stakes win at Newbury

Saturday 23rd September, 2017 - 2:50pm Newbury - Mill Reef Stakes

With Ayr forced to abandon their Ayr Gold Cup card then all eyes will veer to Newbury for their Saturday afternoon fixture, and their showpiece event is the Mill Reef Stakes, which will attract a host of exciting two-year-olds, and having seen future Group 1 winner Harry Angel win this event last year, then all the connections will be hoping they can unearth a future star, who can go on to bigger and better things.

  • Invincible Army won Sirenia Stakes last time out
  • James Garfield was just touched off in Acomb Stakes at York
  • Clive Cox trained Harry Angel to victory last year (saddles Grand Koonta)

Saturday 23rd September - 2.50pm OddsWon/LostBet
Mill Reef Stakes    
Tips James Garfield to win    Best Bet @ 4 / 1  

The Favourites

James Tate's Invincible Army has competed in a host of Pattern races this season, and having finished second in the Molecomb and Gimcrack Stakes he finally bagged Group success in the Sirenia Stakes at Kempton Park, so it's no surprise to see him installed as the 3/1 favourite with Coral bookmakers for this prize.

That victory came on the all-weather, though, and he may prove vulnerable on a return to Turf, and more appeal is made from the consistent James Garfield, who was just pipped on the line in the Acomb Stakes at York, and the 4/1 chance with BetVictor will drop back from seven to six furlongs for this test on Saturday, and is the one to beat.

George Scott's juvenile has been challenging in a host of top notch two-year-old races this season, and with him likely to play a prominent role from the get-go here, then it would be no surprise to see him fend off all his rivals, and duly land his first Group success, which will be his second career win.

Enjazaat (9/2 with bet365) is the other prominent figure in the betting, and he was a fine winner of the Two-Year-Old Trophy at Ripon, but this will be a step up in grade, and while he could still be on the upgrade, he may just find it tough to live with some proven Group performers.

Worth A Mention

Nebo was a winner at Newbury on his debut, but the Charlie Hills-trained raider has found life tough in Group company, and while the 13/2 chance with bet365 ran a fine second in the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket earlier in the season, he was well beaten by Invincible Army in the Gimcrack Stakes last time out, so it's hard to see him turning the form around here.

Jeremy Noseda's Lansky is another priced below double-figures, and the 8/1 shot with bet365 is still lightly-raced, but having won a Windsor race on debut, he was comfortably behind James Garfield in the Acomb Stakes at York, and may find it tough to get the better of that raider on Saturday.

Best Of The Rest

Tim Easterby's Staxton (14/1 with Betfred) has two career wins to his name, but he struggled in the Gimcrack last time out, and this could be too tough a level for him to do his best at, while the likes of Grand Koonta (20/1) and No I'm Easy (20/1) are another brace of runners that will have to settle for the minor honours in what is a fascinating renewal.

2017 Mill Reef Stakes Odds

Visit Paddypower Visit Betfred Visit Ladbrokes Visit Coral Visit Bet365 Visit VCBet Visit Betfair Visit Williamhill
5/2 - 11/4 3 5/2 5/2 - 11/4
4 - 10/3 7/2 7/2 4 - 4
7/2 - 4 7/2 9/2 4 - 7/2
6 - 6 6 7 6 - 7
7 - 7 7 8 8 - 7
16 - 12 10 12 14 - 14
20 - 16 20 16 20 - 20
12 - 16 16 20 20 - 16
40 - 40 40 40 40 - 40
40 - 25 25 33 33 - 33

Posted: Friday, 22nd September 2017
Author: Steve Chambo

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