Churchill to outclass Barney Roy in fascinating Royal Ascot clash

Tuesday 20th June - 4:20pm Royal Ascot - St James's Palace Stakes

Aidan O'Brien will unleash a sensational team at Royal Ascot throughout the five-day Flat extravaganza, but the master of Balldoyle's squad will be spearheaded by dual 2000 Guineas hero Churchill, and he will be the star attraction in the St James's Palace Stakes, which is one of the highlights of the opening day's racing, but in Barney Roy he will have a notable contender in what should be a fascinating renewal of the Group 1 feature.

  • Churchill won the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket & Curragh
  • Aidan O'Brien has won this race seven times in his career
  • Barney Roy (English Guineas) & Thunder Snow (Irish Guineas) were both second to Churchill

Tuesday 20th June - 4.20pm OddsWon/LostBet
St James's Palace Stakes    
Tips Churchill to win    Best Bet @ 4 / 6  

Churchill vs Barney Roy

Seven wins in a row has seen Churchill launch to the top of the three-year-old tree, and he showed when storming to victory in 2000 Guineas at Newmarket that he is a real class act, and with O'Brien not electing to send him down the Derby route, he duly followed up by storming to victory in the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh, so it's no surprise to see him installed as the 4/6 favourite with Sky Bet for this race.

In the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket, the son of Galileo beat the Richard Hannon-trained Barney Roy by a length, and that pair are set for another epic clash on Tuesday afternoon, but Hannon's charge will needed to have improve significantly to down Churchill here, and at 5/2 with Ladbrokes will find it tough to turn around the Classic form.

However, Barney Roy is still very lightly-raced with only three career runs on his CV, so connections will be hoping that he can continue on an upward curve, and duly turn the form around with the Ballydoyle hotpot, but the sensible money is to be with Churchill in this intriguing clash.

Ryan Moore is likely to adopt similar tactics to his Guineas success, and will sit just off the pace, which could be set by O'Brien's other runners Lancaster Bomber (33/1) and Peace Envoy (50/1), and with a tremendous turn of foot, Churchill can click in the after-burners in the final two furlongs, and outclass Barney Roy in the closing stages, and duly land another valuable Group 1 prize at Royal Ascot this time.

Snow Could Freeze On Big Occasion

Saeed bin Suroor's Thunder Snow produced some top notch performers in Dubai when winning the UAE Derby and UAE 2000 Guineas, but he blotted his copybook when bucking when leaving the stalls in the Kentucky Derby, and his race was run, as he finished last in that American showpiece.

He was next seen in Ireland taking on the abovementioned Churchill in the Irish 2000 Guineas, and he was well beaten by two-and-a-half lengths in that Classic, so it's hard to see him turning that form around here, and at 9/1 with Betfair Sportsbook makes no appeal in the win market, despite headgear being fitted for this race.

Best Of The Rest

With two horses dominating the betting in this eight-runner heat, then punters will be on the lookout for an each-way alternative, and while many will pile in on Thunder Snow in the each-way market it's Rivet that could mark the value play at 25/1 with BetVictor, as he showed when winning the Racing Post Trophy last season that he does possess some class, and while he has struggled this season, he could outrun his huge odds.

Richard Fahey's Forest Ranger (50/1) failed to land a blow in the Dante Stakes at York, so will enjoy a drop back in trip, but will be outclassed, while Mr Scaramanga (150/1) is just making the numbers up in a race that can go the way of the favourite, and hand Aidan O'Brien an eighth in the race.

2017 St James's Palace Stakes Odds

Posted: Monday, 19th June 2017
Author: Steve Chambo

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