Odds Suggests that Triumph Hurdle Will be Hard One to Call

Despite going down by 11 lengths to Carlito Brigante in a Grade 2 Juvenile Hurdle over Christmas, the Edward O’Grady trained, Alaivan bounced back in a similar Grade 2 at Fairyhouse last month, winning by a massive 17 lengths. That win above anything else is the reason why Alaivan has been installed as the 7/2 favourite for this with Bet365 with his rival, Carlito Brigante next best in the market at 4/1 with the same bookmaker.

The trainer of Carlito Brigante is Gordon Elliott, who has been very bullish about his charge, without understanding why his horse is not the favourite, we think that this could be a big hint for punters, as we too find it hard to see how Alaivan can reverse an 11 length defeat even though this race will be on ground verging on good.

2010 Triumph Hurdle Betting Comparison

The race however is far from being between the leading two in the market, with the Paul Nicholls trained, Advisor also being backed. Unbeaten in his first two starts over hurdles, the latest being a good quality novice hurdle event at Ascot, Advisor has been backed into a best price of 6/1 with Bet365

As always Nicky Henderson will be represented with a strong candidate, this time it is the French bred Soldatino, who hosed up in his first and only race so far in England in the Grade 2, Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Kempton Park at the end of last month. Despite that race missing the former Triumph Hurdle antepost favourite, Mill Chief, this looked to be a terrific performance and has certainly excited the Seven Barrows stable, who clearly believe that they have a ‘good one’ in the making here.

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Triumph Hurdles are always hard races to predict, but we think that Soldatino fits the profile for this race and we would be reluctant to miss out on backing him with odds of 6/1 also from Bet365

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