Take a chance on Marinero in RSA Chase

Twelve horses have been declared for the 3 mile contest for novice chasers and the betting suggests this is a wide open contest.

Might Bite is likely to go off favourite, largely due to his performance in the Kauto Star Novices Chase on Boxing Day when he fell at the last after pulling well clear. Kempton is a very different track to Cheltenham though and he may need to drift in the market to become an attractive betting proposition.

Wednesday 15th March - 2.10pm OddsWon/LostBet
RSA Chase    
Tips Marinero (each-way)    Best Bet @ 25 / 1  

Alpha Des Obeaux boasts excellent Festival form having chased home Thistlecrack in last year’s Stayers Hurdle. He was well clear of the rest that day and a reproduction of that form would surely see him go close. His novice chase form this season has been rather sketchy though so the value may lie elsewhere.

It is likely that Acapella Bourgeois will make this a decent test of stamina. Roger Loughran used aggressive front-running tactics to help him to a 32 length victory at Navan last month but he is unlikely to be given so much rope here. He may just set this up for something coming from off the pace.

The two horses I like are both available at decent prices. Nicky Henderson’s O O Seven produced an impressive round of jumping to win a Novice Chase at Cheltenham in November and whilst he disappointed at Doncaster subsequently, he got back in the winners enclosure at Huntingdon in January. He has a tendency to hang in the closing stages though and that could be his undoing over this 3 mile trip.

One horse who should appreciate every yard of this contest is Henry de Bromhead’s Marinero who got within 3 ¾ lengths of Thistlecrack at Cheltenham in November. That was his second visit to Prestbury Park having run in the Coral Cup in 2015 where he finished 16th but had excuses.

He arrives fresh having not raced since November, should like the track and ground and will appreciate the stiff uphill finish. He is also a consistent sort with form figures of 221221 from his last six runs.

Whether he’ll be quick enough to win remains to be seen but at 25/1 he rates a sporting each-way bet.

2017 RSA Chase Odds

Posted: Tuesday, 14th March 2017
Author: Paul Dunn

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