Henderson's Favourite To Prove Top Notch In The Manifesto Novices Chase

The Manifesto Novices Chase gets Aintree's Grand National Meeting underway on Thursday afternoon and Nicky Henderson's market leader can prove to be Top Notch in this Grade One...

  • 7 of the last 8 Manifesto winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
  • 7 of those winners came from the first-three in the betting
Thursday 6th April - 1.45pm OddsWon/LostBet
Manifesto Novices Chase    
Tips Top Notch to win    Best Bet @ 5 / 4  

The Front-Three

It is worth noting that seven of the eight winners of the relatively new Manifesto Novices Chase had run at Cheltenham Festival in March and all seven came from the first-three in the betting...

With that in mind, 5/4 favourite Top Notch (Bet Victor) ticks plenty of boxes after running a very fine race to come within a length of the brilliant Yorkhill in the JLT Novices Chase last month. The 6-year-old has won four of six starts over fences, including a Grade One success at Sandown in February, and his strong travelling style could well be enough to secure Nicky Henderson a third Manifesto winner.

Cloudy Dream (3/1) also ran well when a six-length runner-up to Altior in the Arkle and the lightly raced 7-year-old has been victorious over this 2 mile, 4 furlong trip previously, albeit over hurdles. It is worth noting that Arkle runners lead JLT runners 4-3 in terms of providing Manifesto victories, although that should be taken with a pinch of salt as the JLT is obviously a relatively new addition to Cheltenham.

Frodon (5/1 with Paddy Power) is an interesting runner as the French import bids to enhance Paul Nicholls' relatively poor record in this race and he should go close on favourable ground, with the prolific 5-year-old sure to attract interest after winning six of seven starts over fences this season, including the Grade 2 Pendil at Kempton last time out.

The Rest

Other runners in the field include Nigel Twiston-Davies's Flying Angel (6/1), who enjoyed no luck when sixth, behind Top Notch, in the JLT. The 6-year-old has been infuriatingly inconsistent when failing to complete a couple of races before winning the Grade 2 Kingmaker at Warwick in February.

Max Ward is worthy of interest at 20/1 (BetVictor.com) and there is much to like about Tom George's recent Kempton winner, albeit this is a big step up in class, while Ben Pauling's Cyrius Moriviere (33/1) has plenty to find on the rest after failing to complete any of his last four starts.

2017 Manifesto Novices Chase Odds

Posted: Wednesday, 5th April 2017
Author: Chris Knight

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