Three Long Shots For The European Tour's Hong Kong Open

There will be just four days between the end of the last European Tour campaign and the start of the next as the new season starts with the Hong Kong Open on Thursday and we've picked out three players this week...

23rd November - 26th November OddsWon/LostBet
Hong Kong Open    
Tips David Lipsky (each way)    Best Bet @ 55 / 1  
Marcus Fraser (each way) @ 70 / 1  
Angelo Que (each way) @ 150 / 1  

The Market Leaders

The 2015 Hong Kong Open winner, Justin Rose, is a 5 /1 favourite but we wonder how much he has left in the tank after going 'all in' when bidding to win the Race To Dubai last week. The same could be said of the eventual Race To Dubai winner, Tommy Fleetwood (16/1), and it is something of a surprise to see Sergio Garcia (13/2) teeing up here.

Garcia is the most likely of the 'big guns' to contend on a tight, tree-lined course at Hong Kong Golf Club that puts a premium on accuracy but he is still trying out new kit and we prefer to take on the market leaders.

The Selections

Kiradech Aphibarnrat arrives with six top-20 finishes from his past ten starts but he has missed the cut in his last two visits to Hong Kong, while Thongchai Jaidee has ten top-20 finishes to his name at this venue but this will be his first start in six weeks following a succession of missed cuts.

We prefer to side with David Lipsky here as this course appears to be a very nice fit for a player who tied 12th here in 2013 before tying 5th twelve months ago. Lipsky, who finished 24th in Dubai last week, has prospered at a similarly tight course in the past too as he won the European Masters at Crans-Sur-Sierre and we are more than happy to have him on side at 55/1.
Tip #1: David Lipsky (each way) @ 55/1 with Bet 365.

Marcus Fraser is another with a good record in this event as the Australian has secured five top-eleven finishes in his last seven appearances and he is a big price for success this week. A recent tie for 5th at the Italian Open bodes well and we fancy him to prosper at a venue that clearly suits.
Tip #2: Marcus Fraser (each way) @ 70/1 with B365.

Angelo Que also looks over-priced in this field as he has three top-fifteen finishes to show from his four visits to Hong Kong Golf Club (5-2-13-MC) and he arrives in decent touch this time, finishing in the top-30 in five of his past seven starts worldwide, including a tie for 2nd at the Macao Open.
Tip #3: Angelo Que (each way) @ 150/1 with Coral.

2017 Hong Kong Open Odds

Visit Paddypower Visit Betfred Visit Ladbrokes Visit Coral Visit Bet365 Visit VCBet Visit Betfair Visit Williamhill
11/4 16/5 - 3 10/3 3 11/4 3
4 4 - 4 7/2 4 4 4
9/2 5 9/2 9/2 5 9/2 9/2 5
7 13/2 - 7 13/2 7 7 7
8 10 - 8 8 8 8 8
12 14 - 12 12 12 12 12
18 18 - 20 18 20 18 20
25 25 - 25 25 25 25 25
28 25 - 33 28 28 28 33
28 30 - 33 33 28 28 33
50 50 - 50 50 50 50 50
66 55 - 66 66 80 66 80
80 70 - 80 80 80 80 80
100 60 - 100 100 80 100 100
100 66 - 100 100 80 100 100
100 80 - 100 100 100 100 100
100 90 - 100 100 125 100 100
125 100 - 150 125 100 125 100
125 125 - 150 150 100 125 150
100 100 - 150 150 100 100 100
150 150 - 200 200 200 150 150
200 200 - 200 200 200 200 200
250 300 - 250 200 250 250 300
250 250 - 250 200 250 250 300
- 400 - 400 300 250 - 300
- 500 - - 300 - - -
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250 750 - - 300 - 250 -
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Posted: Tuesday, 21st November 2017
Author: Chris Knight

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