Fran Molinari Is The Man At The Nedbank Golf Challenge

The penultimate tournament of the European Tour season takes place at the Gary Player Country Club in Sun City, South Africa, from Thursday as a field of 72 tee up for what looks like a very competitive renewal of the Nedbank Golf Challenge...

9th November - 12th November OddsWon/LostBet
Nedbank Golf Challenge    
Tips Francesco Molinari (each way)    Best Bet @ 20 / 1  
Victor Dubuisson (each way) @ 45 / 1 P
Richie Ramsay (each way) @ 100 / 1  

The Head Of The Market

The in-form Tyrrell Hatton is a marginal 14/1 favourite and he is joined towards the head of the market by Louis Oosthuizen (16/1), who has finished in the top-fifteen in six of his previous visits to Sun City (12-4-14-7-11-9).

Branden Grace (18/1) has gone 20-4-3 here and Race To Dubai leader Tommy Fleetwood will be looking for a big performance as the electric form of Justin Rose has cut his lead down to 135,000 points with only two tournaments left.

Fran Is The Man

It is Francesco Molinari who is the pick of the market leaders for us at what is a ball strikers' paradise in South Africa and the Italian has some solid form at this venue as he finished 11-7-12 in three appearances from 2011 to 2013.

The 34-year-old is a far superior player now though as he has plied his trade on the PGA Tour for much of the year, ranking 9th for total driving in 2017 and 9th for greens in regulation in events this season (both have proven to be key statistics at the Nedbank in the past).

Unlike many of his peers, Molinari will be well rested as this is his first start since the WGC HSBC Champions and it augurs well that he picked up a fifth top-ten of the year when tying for 6th at the Italian Open prior to that.
Tip #1: Francesco Molinari (each way) @ 20/1 with Coral.

The Best Of The Rest

Meanwhile, Victor Dubuisson has withdrawn from four tournaments during a topsy-turvy year but he has punctuated such disappointment with some very decent efforts, including a tie for 3rd at the Alfred Dunhill Links recently.

The Frenchman is currently 77th in the Race To Dubai rankings and he needs a big performance this week to force his way into the top-sixty, which of course would secure his place at the season-ending DP World Tour Championship. Dubuisson will relish the chance to return to the Gary Player Country Club this week as he has finished 20-4-3 in his last three visits and he can continue on his upward curve.
Tip #2: Victor Dubuisson (each way) @ 45/1 with Bet 365.

Finally, Richie Ramsay won his maiden European Tour title in South Africa in 2012 (one of two titles collected on African soil) and he put in a solid effort to finish in the top-25 on his course debut at Sun City twelve months ago.

The Scot has enjoyed a good year, securing three top-tens, including a tie for 2nd at the Irish Open, and he has been in solid enough form of late. A player who ranks third for GIR percentage looks well-suited to this course and can defy a triple-figure price.
Tip #3: Richie Ramsay (each way) @ 100/1 with B365.

2017 Nedbank Golf Challenge Odds

Visit Paddypower Visit Betfred Visit Ladbrokes Visit Coral Visit Bet365 Visit VCBet Visit Betfair Visit Williamhill
5 5 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 5 11/2
8 15/2 9 9 8 9 8 7
8 10 9 9 9 9 8 9
14 12 14 14 14 14 12 12
12 11 12 12 14 12 12 14
12 16 18 18 16 14 12 14
16 16 16 16 16 20 16 20
20 22 25 25 25 22 25 16
20 16 20 22 22 22 20 20
22 22 28 28 30 33 22 22
25 22 33 33 33 18 25 20
33 25 25 25 25 25 28 25
40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
45 35 40 40 40 50 45 40
66 60 66 66 40 40 66 66
50 40 50 50 40 66 50 50
50 66 50 50 40 50 50 66
50 50 50 50 40 40 50 50
66 55 66 66 60 66 66 66
66 70 66 66 60 80 66 80
66 80 80 80 60 66 66 66
66 50 66 66 60 80 66 100
100 70 100 100 100 80 100 80
100 60 100 100 100 100 100 100
100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
100 100 100 100 100 80 100 66
80 125 100 100 80 125 80 80
80 100 100 100 100 100 80 66
66 80 50 50 80 125 66 40
125 125 150 150 150 150 125 125
100 90 100 100 100 150 100 100
125 125 150 150 100 125 125 100
80 125 80 80 100 150 80 100
100 100 100 100 80 150 100 100
125 150 125 125 125 100 125 80
125 125 80 80 70 150 125 100
150 100 150 150 150 150 150 125
150 200 150 150 200 125 150 200
100 150 100 100 125 200 100 125
125 200 100 100 125 200 125 150
175 150 200 200 150 - 175 100
125 250 150 150 150 200 125 125
125 125 150 150 150 250 125 150
150 300 200 200 150 125 150 150
125 300 200 200 150 125 125 150
125 300 150 150 125 150 125 300
150 250 100 100 250 300 150 200
150 300 200 200 250 200 150 100
250 250 200 200 300 - 250 200
300 300 300 300 300 - 300 200
200 500 200 200 400 300 200 200
250 300 200 200 250 125 250 200
250 400 300 300 300 400 250 300
200 500 400 400 250 200 200 150
400 500 400 400 400 - 400 150
250 500 300 300 400 400 250 400
300 500 400 400 500 - 300 250
250 750 250 250 400 400 250 300
250 750 400 400 300 400 250 200
300 750 400 400 500 - 300 300
300 750 500 500 750 - 300 300
- 750 - - 500 - - 400
- 750 - - 600 - - -
- 1000 500 500 500 - - 200
- 1000 - - 1000 - - 300
- 1000 - - 1000 - - -
300 1000 400 400 600 - 300 400
- 1000 - - 1000 - - 400
- 1000 - - 1500 - - -
- 1000 - - 2000 - - -
- 1000 - - 2000 - - -

Posted: Tuesday, 7th November 2017
Author: Chris Knight

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