Expect Moore From Ryan As The PGA Tour Starts With The Safeway Open

The dust has barely settled on the previous campaign but the new 2017/18 PGA Tour wraparound season will begin in earnest with The Safeway Open on Thursday and we will be looking to hit the ground running again after successfully backing Brendan Steele to win this at 50/1 twelve months ago...

5th October - 8th October OddsWon/LostBet
Safeway Open    
Tips Ryan Moore (each way)    Best Bet @ 33 / 1  
Chez Reavie (each way) @ 33 / 1  
Sang-Moon Bae (each way) @ 200 / 1  

The Head Of The Market

It is Tony Finau who is a 10/1 favourite to replace Steele as champion and he is expected to kick on after securing eight top-tens last season, albeit a best of 12th from three previous visits to The North Course at the Silverado Resort in California ensures we will be leaving the 10/1 well alone.

Phil Mickelson finished 7th in this event last year and he is clearly a man in form after notching 3.5 points in USA's romp against the Internationals in the Presidents Cup, albeit 16/1 is quite skinny for a player who hasn't won a tournament anywhere since 2013.

Likewise, Webb Simpson is a man in form but 16/1 looks very thin for another player who hasn't won in four years, while two-time major winner Zach Johnson (20/1) is hunting a first victory since his 2015 Open success.

The Selections

Instead, we prefer to focus on the each-way value in the field and Ryan Moore ranks as a very decent bet at 33/1. The American endured a tough 2017 but there were signs of improvement towards the end as the five-time PGA Tour winner secured four top-25s in recent months and he has a very decent record at the Safeway Open, where he has finished in the top-ten in three of his previous four visits, including a tenth place effort on his first appearance at Silverado in 2015 (the tournament moved to Silverado in 2014).
Tip #1: Ryan Moore (each way) @ 20/1 with William Hill.

Chez Reavie has also played well in this event in the past as he hasn't missed a cut in six visits, securing four top-25 finishes, and he is someone who could sneak under the radar at 33/1. Reavie is riding the crest of a wave on the PGA Tour at the moment as he hasn't missed a cut in eleven outings and he has notched up six top-25 finishes during that time.

Reavie ranked tied 13th for scrambling and 40th for greens in regulation percentage statistics during 2017 and he gets the nod from us here. The 35-year-old is showing signs of being able to contend for titles once more having previously claimed his sole PGA Tour win in Canada nine years ago. It is a long gap but the 33/1 represents decent each-way value.
Tip #2: Chez Reavie (each way) @ 33/1 with WilliamHill.com.

Kevin Na is another with a strong record in the Safeway Open as his last four results there read: 15-3-2-7 and he very nearly made our shortlist but 25/1 is very short for such an inconsistent player, who hasn't won a title since 2011.

Instead, we prefer to back Sang-Moon Bae at a massive 200/1. It is asking a lot for the South Korean to hit the ground running after missing the past two years for military service in his country but it is worth remembering that the 31-year-old was as high as 27th in the world prior to his hiatus, while he also won the Safeway Open in 2015. He is well worth chancing at a massive 200/1.
Tip #3: Sang-Moon Bae (each way) @ 200/1 with Hills.

2017 Safeway Open Odds

Posted: Tuesday, 3rd October 2017
Author: Chris Knight

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