The World Cup Quarter Finals odds ahead of Friday and Saturday’s games reflect just how closely matched bookmakers see the remaining eight teams in the tournament with Spain the shortest of the four favourites at 1/2 to beat Paraguay. In the other three matches, Brazil are marginally fancied to beat Holland in what promises to be a thrilling opener to the last eight on Friday afternoon and are best price 10/11 to see off the Dutch. Friday’s evening kick off sees the two surprise packages of the 2010 World Cup, Uruguay and Ghana, battle it out for a place in the Semi Finals with the South American’s 11/10 to progress. The game being billed as the tie of the round (and the closest according to the betting) sees Argentina take on Germany in a match bookies are predicting Maradona’s side will win by the narrowest of margins.
Following the round of 16, the outright odds on which team will win the World Cup saw the two pre-tournament favourites, Brazil and Spain, both shorten further in the betting. Spain, who were the favourites at the beginning of June are now second favourites at best odds of 3/1 with Ladbrokes to lift the trophy on the 11th July with Brazil, who seemingly have the easier route to the final, now clear favourites at 5/2 and the odds of the two meeting in the final are 3/1 from 10/1 prior to the start of the competition.
The biggest obstacle standing in the way of Brazil appearing in its eighth World Cup final looks to be the Netherlands in the Quarter Final, with the winner of this match sure to be strong favourites to overcome the winner of the Uruguay v Ghana game in the semi final. Brazil has reached the Quarter Finals of the World Cup on thirteen occasions in the past, winning ten and loosing three, with the most recent last 8 defeat coming four years ago in Germany against France.
Friday’s game will be only the fifth time that Holland has reached this stage of the competition and in four appearances in the Quarters, they have won three and lost one, with that defeat coming at the hands of Brazil, who won 3-2, in 1994. On that occasion, the Dutch came back from two goals down only to lose out to a late goal from the Brazilians who were captained by current manager, Dunga, en route to eventually lift the trophy.
If history repeats itself 16 years on in Port Elizabeth, fans will be in for a treat and with both teams averaging two goals per game, an open game cannot be ruled out. At 10/11, Brazil are favourites to win in 90 minutes with Holland a 7/2 chance and the draw a 12/5 chance with the odds to qualify 4/9 in favour of Brazil with the Netherlands available to back at 7/4.
The evening Kick Off on Friday sees Uruguay take on Ghana in Johannesburg in a match that will ensure at least one team will upset the odds to reach the last four. Both were available at odds bigger than 100/1 before the competition but have since been slashed. Uruguay is the favourite of the two to progress at 1/2 to qualify whilst Ghana, who are appearing in the Quarter Finals of a World Cup for the first time are 6/4 to become the first ever African nation to reach the last four.
The most evenly matched game of the Quarter Finals according to the betting, Argentina v Germany is a repeat of the last eight game from four years ago. On that occasion, Germany won on Penalties after the game finished 1-1 and whilst the match odds for 90 minutes point towards another close encounter, Argentina is the favourite to progress at 8/13 with Germany 13/10. Paddy Power is offering 10/1 about both teams that they win through to the semis via a penalty shootout.
The last team to make up the final four will be decided on Saturday night when Spain take on Paraguay and this is a pivotal match in the history of both nations at the World Cup. Paraguay has already beaten its personal best World Cup performance by reaching the last 8 and there will be little pressure on them to reach the Semi Finals. In contrast, the last time Spain appeared in a Semi Final was back in 1950, failing to progress from the Quarter Finals in four attempts since. The bookies however think that it is a foregone conclusion that the reigning European Champions will qualify, offering odds as short as 1/7 that they will be facing either Germany or Argentina in the Semi Finals with Paraguay a 9/2 chance to cause an upset and add to Spain’s World Cup woes.
It has certainly been a case of Bookies 1 Punters 0 so far in this World Cup with shock results occurring at every stage in the competition but many firms will be sweating at the prospect of so many antepost Big Guns still at the head of the betting and if an of Brazil, Spain or Argentina go on to lift the cup, they’ll be counting the cost. However, a further upset in the Quarter Finals will see them laughing all the way to the bank so it may be worth trying to hit them where it hurts and backing all the favourites to win in 90 minutes! A £20 fourfold on Brazil, Uruguay, Argentina and Spain all to win pays £276 with Bet365.
Posted: Wednesday, 30th June 2010
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: world cup, spain, brazil, argentina, bet365,
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