Tempting odds for Dzeko to score last in latest Man City v Aston Villa clash

Aston Villa face a daunting trip to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon as they take on reigning Premier League champions Manchester City. Paul Lambert's men have a woeful away record in the top flight and the bookies don't fancy it will get any better against City, who are unbeaten in their last 35 league games at home.

City go into the match as 2/9 odds on favourites as they look to maintain their early push to retain the title they won in such dramatic circumstances last year. They have lost to Villa once already at home this season, in the Capital One Cup, but Paddy Power make Villa a 12/1 chance to repeat the feat and 5/1 to draw.

Roberto Mancini's men may have struggled in the Champions League again but they have generally found a way of winning Premier League games and let's not forget that they are the only unbeaten team left in England's top division. Mancini will be keen for his team to get another three points on the board this weekend after Edin Dzeko popped up with a late goal again in the 2-1 win over Tottenham last weekend.

Five of Dzeko's six league goals have now come as a substitute and he is 4/1 to score last in this Man City v Aston Villa clash as he looks to add to his tally of 12 goals for club and country this season. Dzeko's goal against Spurs saw City come from behind to win a game again and they have now gained 14 points from losing positions this season, with PaddyPower going 10/3 for Villa to score first and fail to win on Saturday.

Villa nearly pulled off a famous upset last weekend as they went 2-0 up against Manchester United before falling to a dramatic 3-2 defeat. It was harsh on Villa, who are now 17th in the league, but they can take confidence from that performance and the fact they won 4-2 against City in the Capital One Cup earlier this season.

Christian Benteke has continued to impress up front, scoring four goals so far, and he was on the scoresheet in Belgium's 2-1 defeat to Romania on Wednesday. Benteke is 4/1 to score Villa's first goal on Saturday and Villa look capable of grabbing a goal as Paul Lambert has introduced a more dynamic style of football.

Both teams to score is 10/11 in the betting with PaddyPower and that could be worth a look, particularly when you consider the worrying form of Joe Hart in the City goal. However, City have scored in their last 37 home games in the Premier League and they could prove too good for a Villa side that have won just one of their 14 last away in the league.

Villa may have won that League Cup clash but it was against a second string City and the correct score of 3-1 to City, which can be backed at 9/1, could be the way to go this time. Mancini's side should be too strong in the end and they will be looking to build confidence ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.

Man City v Aston Villa Form

Check the season's statistics for both Man City and Aston Villa, plus the odds ahead of Saturday's match.

Man City Stats | Aston Villa Stats

Man City v Aston Villa Tips

Tip #1: Edin Dzeko to score last @ 4/1 with PaddyPower.
Tip #2: Christian Benteke to score Aston Villa's first goal @ 4/1 with PaddyPower.
Tip #3: Both teams to score @ 10/11 with PaddyPower.

Man City v Aston Villa Betting

Match Betting

2/9 Man City
5/1 Draw
12/1 Aston Villa

Correct Score Odds

7/1 Man City 1-0
11/2 Man City 2-0
15/2 Man City 2-1
18/1 Draw 0-0
10/1 Draw 1-1
20/1 Draw 2-2
40/1 Aston Villa 1-0
100/1 Aston Villa 2-0
35/1 Aston Villa 2-1

First Goalscorer Odds

3/1 Sergio Aguero
3/1 Carlos Tevez
4/1 Edin Dzeko
9/2 Mario Balotelli
6/1 David Silva
7/1 Yaya Toure
7/1 Samir Nasri
8/1 Scott Sinclair
9/1 Aleksandar Kolarov
11/1 Darren Bent
11/1 Christian Benteke
12/1 Abdul Razak

Odds supplied by PaddyPower.com, who offer live betting in-running for all Premier League games.

Posted: Thursday, 15th November 2012
Author: Chris James

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