Ireland produced a stunning performance in the first leg of their Euro 2012 play-off with Estonia to almost certainly secure their place in Poland and Ukraine next summer. Ireland are 4-0 up and 2/5 odds on to win the second leg at the Aviva Stadium on Tuesday, while Estonia are a big 9/1 to save face with victory according to Paddy Power.
Meanwhile, Paddy Power will refund all losing first scorer, last scorer, correct score and scorecast single bets if Robbie Keane scores last on Tuesday.
Keane looked back to his best on Friday as he notched a brace, including the last goal, to ensure Ireland take a healthy lead into this week's fixture. Keane ended a four match drought in front of goal on the international stage and he starts as the 7/2 favourite to score first on Tuesday, with his move to Los Angeles Galaxy looking likes it has paid dividends.
Ireland have scored first in their last seven matches when there has been a goal and they are 3/10 on to score first this week, and while there is little value to be found there it could be worth a look at them keeping Estonia out.
Giovanni Trapattoni's side have now kept nine clean sheets in their last ten matches as Shay Given and Richard Dunne continue to excel at the back. An Irish clean sheet is 8/11 odds on but for a touch more value it could be worth a punt on Ireland to win to nil at 10/11 with PaddyPower.com.
Their defensive steel has been key in seeing them reach the play-offs of Euro 2012 and they look well set to reach the finals of a major tournament for the first time in ten years. The 4-0 win over Estonia was something of a rare goal spree as seven of their last nine matches have involved under 2.5 goals and under 2.5 is available at 5/6 on Tuesday.
Trapattoni must do without Stephen Kelly and Leon Best this week, although Kevin Doyle returns from suspension and John O'Shea is fit to play an Estonia side that looked shell-shocked after Friday's mauling.
They had two players sent off during the match and their ill discipline has cost them, with Raio Piiroja and Andrei Stepanov both missing for the return leg because of suspension. It was an embarrassing defeat and they will be hoping to at least save some face this week.
However, their recent results don't bode well as they have lost five of their last seven matches away from home and have lost five of their last eight matches in all competitions. They have failed to score a single goal in each of those five defeats and the correct score of 2-0 to Ireland at 9/2 could be worth backing with PaddyPower, particularly with their money back offer.
It is difficult to see Estonia getting anything from this match after Friday's failure and with no clean sheet in eleven matches they will do well to keep Ireland out. Ireland have been ahead at half time and full time in each of their last six wins, with the Ireland double result priced 10/11.
- Please visit our dedicated Euro 2012 mini-site for more stats, standings, fixtures, odds and betting news.
Ireland v Estonia Form
Check the season's statistics for both Ireland and Estonia, plus the odds ahead of Tuesday's match.
Ireland v Estonia Tips
Tip #1: Robbie Keane to score first @ 7/2 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #2: Ireland to win 2-0 @ 9/2 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #3: Double result of Ireland to be winning at half time and full time @ 10/11 with PaddyPower.com
Match Odds
2/5 Ireland
16/5 Draw
9/1 Estonia
Correct Score Odds
5/1 Ireland 1-0
9/2 Ireland 2-0
8/1 Ireland 2-1
10/1 Draw 0-0
8/1 Draw 1-1
22/1 Draw 2-2
14/1 Estonia 1-0
45/1 Estonia 2-0
22/1 Estonia 2-1
First Goalscorer Odds
7/2 Robbie Keane
9/2 Kevin Doyle
11/2 Jon Walters
6/1 Simon Cox
13/2 Andrew Keogh
7/1 Aiden McGeady
8/1 Stephen Hunt
10/1 Damien Duff
10/1 Keith Andrews
10/1 James McCarthy
11/1 Vladimir Voskoboinikov
Odds supplied by PaddyPower.com, who will refund all losing first scorer, last scorer, correct score and scorecast single bets on Tuesday's match if Robbie Keane scores last.
Posted: Monday, 14th November 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: european championship, ireland, estonia, robbie keane, paddypower,
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