Luton will look to cause another FA Cup upset when they welcome Millwall to Kenilworth Road for their fifth round clash on Saturday (ESPN, 12.45pm). The Hatters have already stunned Wolves and Norwich in this competition so far and the bookies are treating them with plenty of respect, while Millwall are bidding to follow up on their 2-1 win over a poor Aston Villa side in the last round.
The match is a repeat of the sixth round clash between these teams from 1985 where the away fans infamously rioted, although hopefully this latest match will be remembered for the football on the pitch. It is Millwall who go in as 11/10 favourites with Coral, while Luton are 9/4 for the win and 5/2 to draw and force a replay at the New Den.
The draw could be worth a look at this stage as neither team can boast anything remotely close to form. Luton are currently seventh in the Blue Square Premier League following a run of one win in their last six matches. They have struggled to get a run of form together in recent weeks but they have tended to save their best for the FA Cup.
They won 1-0 at Wolves in the third round before their 1-0 win over Norwich saw them become the first non-league team to win away at a top-flight club in the FA Cup since 1986. They were immense that day and their success has been built on an impressive defensive record. Luton have conceded just three goals in their last six outings, keeping three clean sheets in the process, and they are 19/5 to keep a clean sheet on Saturday.
The worry will be the fact that they have found goals to hard come by themselves as they have failed to score in four of their last six in all competitions, while their last four in a row have ended with under 2.5 goals scored. Under 2.5 goals is available at 10/11 in the latest betting with Coral this weekend and that looks decent value as Millwall have struggled to hit the back of the net with any regularity.
Millwall have failed to score in three of their last five and scoring goals has become a real problem since they lost Chris Wood to Leicester last month. Wood had been scoring goals for fun but they have really struggled following his departure. They have won just one of their last six ahead of the trip to Kenilworth Road and they have lost their last three in a row.
That run of form has seen them drop to 12th in the Championship, nine points off the play-offs, and it doesn't bode well that they are winless in their last six away games, losing four. Their sole win in recent weeks came against Premier League opposition though as they beat a very poor Aston Villa side 2-1 in the previous round of this competition.
Dan Shittu was on target against Villa and he is a tempting 25/1 to score first or 8/1 to score anytime on Saturday. Shittu is worth looking out for as he offers a real threat from corners and with little obvious goalscoring threat on either side this weekend he could be the one to back at longer odds.
Luton v Millwall Tips
Tip #1: Draw @ 5/2 with Coral.
Tip #2: Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11 with Coral.
Tip #3: Dan Shittu to score anytime @ 8/1 with Coral.
Match Betting
9/4 Luton
5/2 Draw
11/10 Millwall
Correct Score Odds
8/1 Luton 1-0
12/1 Luton 2-0
10/1 Luton 2-1
10/1 Draw 0-0
11/2 Draw 1-1
14/1 Draw 2-2
13/2 Millwall 1-0
15/2 Millwall 2-0
7/1 Millwall 2-1
First Goalscorer Odds
5/1 Rob Hulse
11/2 Andrew Keogh
11/2 John Marquis
7/1 Danny N'Guessan
7/1 Liam Trotter
15/2 Scott Rendell
8/1 Stuart Fleetwood
8/1 No Goalscorer
9/1 Andre Gray
9/1 Jon Shaw
9/1 Martyn Woolford
11/1 James Henry
Odds supplied by Coral.com, who offer live in-play betting for all FA Cup matches.
Posted: Thursday, 14th February 2013
Author: Chris James
Tags: fa cup, luton, millwall, fifth round, coral,
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