Tournament hosts Argentina will look to get their Copa America challenge back on track when they play Colombia at the Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao Lopez in the early hours of Thursday morning.
The Argentines could only draw 1-1 with Venezuela in their opening Group A match but start as 4/11 odds on favourites for this week's game, with Colombia priced 8/1. But the 7/2 on offer for a draw could be the way to go with Paddy Power - who will be streaming the match live on their website.
Argentina's draw with Venezuela was particularly embarrassing and only a Sergio Aguero goal rescued them, with the Athletic Madrid striker 9/2 to score first this time. His strike partner Carlos Tevez has been dominating headlines though as he again outlined his determination to leave Premier League side Manchester City, despite scoring 23 goals in 39 appearances for City last term, and he looks tempting at odds of 4/1 to score first against Colombia.
Of more concern to Argentinean fans will be the fact that their side have picked up just one win in their last four matches and just two in the last eight. Furthermore, they have kept just one clean sheet in eight and Colombia have the talent and organisation to take advantage.
They can boast the striking ability of Radamel Falcao, who has scored 41 goals in 50 matches for Porto, including a record breaking 17 in the Europa League last season. Falcao is reportedly a target for Chelsea and he could put himself in the shop window with a good performance against Argentina. PaddyPower.com offer odds of 11/1 for Falcao to score first and 7/2 for him to score anytime and they both look fantastic value.
It is defensively that Colombia are renowned though as they have kept five clean sheets in their last eight matches, with their opening Copa America match yielding a 1-0 win over Costa Rica, and a Colombian clean sheet on Thursday can be backed at 11/2. Meanwhile, their last twelve matches have involved under 2.5 goals and under 2.5 is 4/5 on.
However, Colombia have failed to win on their last four visits to Argentina, but with their defensive resilience the draw looks good to us. Paddy Power price the score draw at 5/1 and the correct score of 1-1 at 7/1 as both sides bid to ensure they reach the knockout stages of the competition.
It promises to be a tetchy affair with plenty at stake and huge pressure on the tournament hosts. With three of the last four meetings between the two nations involving red cards, a red card on Thursday looks a decent punt at 11/5.
Argentina v Colombia Tips
Tip #1: Match to finish as a draw @ 7/2 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #2: Red card to be shown in the match @ 11/5 with PaddyPower.com
Tip #3: Carlos Tevez to score first @ 4/1 with PaddyPower.com
Match Betting
4/11 Argentina
7/2 Draw
8/1 Colombia
Correct Score Odds
9/2 Argentina 1-0
5/1 Argentina 2-0
7/1 Argentina 2-1
9/1 Draw 0-0
7/1 Draw 1-1
20/1 Draw 2-2
19/1 Colombia 1-0
60/1 Colombia 2-0
25/1 Colombia 2-1
First Goalscorer Odds
3/1 Lionel Messi
7/2 Gonzalo Higuain
4/1 Carlos Tevez
9/2 Diego Milito
9/2 Sergio Aguero
5/1 Ezequiel Lavezzi
8/1 Angel Di Maria
17/2 No Goalscorer
10/1 Javier Pastore
11/1 Radamel Falcao
11/1 Hugo Rodallega
11/1 Jackson Martinez
Odds supplied by PaddyPower.com, who provide live streaming and several other betting markets, including live betting in-running, for all Copa America fixtures.
Posted: Tuesday, 5th July 2011
Author: Chris James
Tags: copa america, carlos tevez, argentina, colombia, paddypower,
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