Bangladesh host England in the first of two test matches this Friday, 12th March in Chittagong, knowing that they have yet to beat England in any form of the game and their chances of doing so in this test match are very slim. The Bookmakers make England overwhelming favourites to win this match, with VC Bet offering the best price of 4/11 odds on – which are hardly odds that will be taken up by the many English punters. Bangladesh are 13/2 and the draw can be backed at 7/2.
If therefore the outright win odds on an England win offer no appeal to punters, then would it be worth considering an alternative, like backing the draw for instance? It goes without saying that most cricket followers believe that this match will be won by England, but if closely analysed, the circumstances surrounding the match offer no certainties at all. Firstly the England bowling attack may not be anywhere near its normal standard. Anderson and Sidebottom are absent, Broad and Onions have back injuries, meaning that England are likely to go into the test woefully short of experience in their pace attack.
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There are doubts too concerning the batting, particularly with Kevin Pietersen, who has been struggling badly to find his form and remains vulnerable to the slow left arm spin, that Bangladesh have in abundance. Add his problems to the fact that England will have a ‘rookie’ captain, an opener in Jonathan Trott, who until the trial match the other day has struggled and a tired looking Paul Collingwood in the middle order. These are facts that suggest that England may not be the certainties we all think. The draw therefore looks a real good value bet to us with odds of 7/2.
We also think that money can be made on Graeme Swann, being England’s top bowler in the match. He in fact is the likely leader of the England attack and the pitch is likely to turn from the outset. Swann has odds in this market of 5/2 with VC Bet.
England v Bangladesh First Test Odds
4/11 England
7/2 Draw
13/2 Bangladesh
Odds courtesy of VC Bet.
Posted: Wednesday, 10th March 2010
Author: Rodney Wise
Tags: test match cricket, chittagong, england, bangladesh, victor chandler,
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