Make Home Advantage Count In NFL Wild Card Weekend

The regular season may have finished, but the four wild card games that kick of the NFL playoffs, this weekend, provide some good opportunities for a bet and instead of the weekly three picks, that finished in profit for the 2016 season, we are going to be a little more ad hoc when it comes to betting on the post-season. This weekend, we've got a couple of stand out bets; one is a four-fold accumulator, covering all games, and two singles.

Make Home Advantage Pay

NFL Wild Card TipsOddsWon/LostBet
Tips: Houston Texans to beat Oakland Raiders
@ 1 / 2  
Seattle Seahawksto beat Detroit Lions
@ 10 / 37  
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Miami Dolphins
@ 1 / 5  
Green Bay Packers to beat New York Giants
@ 10 / 21  
Accumulator pays @ 23 / 10  

It may only pay little over 23/10, but there's a lot to like about backing all four home teams this weekend.

The first of the quartet of games kicks off on Saturday, with Houston Texans hosting the Oakland Raiders - a rematch of the week 11 clash that took place in Mexico City, where the Raiders ran out 27-20 winners. However, this re-match takes place under very different circumstances - the biggest difference is that Oakland will be without quarterback, Derek Carr, who played such a pivotal part in the Raiders reaching the playoffs for the first time since 2002, after he was ruled out for the season after injury in week 16. Replacing Carr will be third-string QB, Connor Cook, a rookie making his first NFL start, after backup, Matt McGloin, was also ruled out through injury, last week.

That game in Mexico City also saw two continuous decisions go against Houston, who will be out to avenge that result and those decisions. The task is much easier without Carr in the Oakland line-up and 1/2 about Houston winning looks a decent bet. The Texans are far from perfect at quarterback, themselves, but the best rated defense of the 12 remaining teams in the Super Bowl hunt, is taken to get the better of such an inexperienced quarterback in a crucial game.

In Saturday's other game, Seattle and Detroit clash and it could be argued that the Seahawks are nowhere near as strong as they have been in recent seasons and are by no means a lock to reach Super Bowl, but the fact remains that they have not lost a playoff game at home in 12 years - a sequence of nine games!

The playoff record of the Detroit Lions couldn't be any different, they have lost their last seven appearance - dating back to 1991! Furthermore, they haven't won on the road in the post-season since 1957!

The Lions looked nailed on to win the NFC North, before losing their final three games, where one win would have secured them home-advantage in the wild card round. However, those three straight losses doesn't bode well for the long trip to the North West and the Seahawks are taken to make home advantage count.

Sunday's games begin with Pittsburgh against Miami, where once again, the home side is a strong pick to win, as the -10 line suggests. However, don't bother with the handicap, as this should be the 'banker' of this weekend's NFL fourfold.

The Steelers suffered a mid-season wobble, losing four on the bounce, which began with defeat at the Dolphins in week six. However, they haven't lost a game since, winning seven on the bounce and with the team's formidable offense firing on all cylinders, especially at home, where they have averaged 30.5 points per game and a winning margin of 13 points in the six games quarterback, Ben Roethlisberger, has played! There's no case to be made for Miami to pull off the upset, so including the Steelers is a no brainer and anyone looking to play the Steelers as a single should take them to cover -10 (bet365) with so many of the stats point towards them winning with something in hand.

The final game of the weekend takes place in Green Bay, where the Packers host the Giants in what promises to be a thriller.

Green Bay have managed to rescue their season in recent weeks thanks to six straight wins, culminating in last week's victory over Detroit, which won them the NFC North title and ensured that Sunday's game is played at Lambeau Field.

Home advantage is a huge positive in favour of the Packers, they have lost only twice at home this season, with an average winning margin of 13 points, including a 23-16 victory over the New York Giants, back in October. In the last two games at home, they have scored a combined 76 points, and whilst the Giants defense ranks amongst the best in the league, it is hard to see them slowing down Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying offense and as such, the home team are taken to win and complete the accumulator.

Whilst the Packers are taken to win the game, the Giants should be more than capable of keeping pace against a Green Bay defense that has several injuries, so a bet on over 44.5 points with bet365 is recommended as a single in addition to the fourfold.

Posted: Friday, 6th January 2017
Author: Tony Smith
Tags: Bet365

Archive - Previous 5 American-football Articles

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